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Collector Crypt Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
On-chain graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon, One Piece, sports · VRF-proved spins
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On-chain graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon, One Piece, sports · VRF-proved spins
20.0% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 51.4% and 202.4% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do. Only 40 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
Only 2 days of pulls so far — the trend line appears once there are three.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | $250–$500 | 75.0% | 80.0% n=32 |
| Uncommon | $500–$1,000 | 20.0% | 10.0% n=4 |
| Rare | $1,000–$2,500 | 4.0% | 7.5% n=3 |
| Epic | $2,500–$50,001 | 1.0% | 2.5% n=1 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
| $285 | 0.57x | |
| $18,800 | 37.6x | |
— | $258 | 0.52x |
— | $370 | 0.74x |
| $980 | 1.96x | |
| $320 | 0.64x | |
| $345 | 0.69x | |
| $250 | 0.50x | |
| $315 | 0.63x | |
| $2,220 | 4.44x | |
| $360 | 0.72x | |
| $800 | 1.60x | |
| $354 | 0.71x | |
| $350 | 0.70x | |
| $360 | 0.72x | |
| $2,200 | 4.40x | |
| $350 | 0.70x | |
| $380 | 0.76x | |
| $321 | 0.64x | |
| $305 | 0.61x | |
| $300 | 0.60x | |
| $310 | 0.62x | |
| $310 | 0.62x | |
| $830 | 1.66x | |
| $335 | 0.67x | |
| $1,300 | 2.60x | |
| $335 | 0.67x | |
| $350 | 0.70x | |
| $365 | 0.73x | |
| $355 | 0.71x | |
| $250 | 0.50x | |
| $275 | 0.55x | |
| $350 | 0.70x | |
| $300 | 0.60x | |
| $300 | 0.60x | |
| $250 | 0.50x | |
— | $333 | 0.67x |
— | $250 | 0.50x |
— | $320 | 0.64x |
| $800 | 1.60x |
Showing 40 of 40 sampled — sorted across all of them.