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Monster Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon + One Piece · publishes its own lifetime returns
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Graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon + One Piece · publishes its own lifetime returns
26.6% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 62.6% and 161.6% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $150 | not advertised | 0.8%n=101 |
| COMMON | $150–$250 | 71.1% | 73.7% n=9038 |
| UNCOMMON | $250–$500 | 22.3% | 18.5% n=2272 |
| RARE | $500–$1,000 | 5.4% | 5.7% n=695 |
| EPIC | $1,000–$2,500 | 1.0% | 1.1% n=138 |
| LEGENDARY | $2,500–$50,000 | 0.1% | 0.2% n=21 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 Erika-HoloPSA 9 | $264 | 1.06x |
 Milotic ExPSA 10 | $200 | 0.80x |
 KadabraCGC 10 | $164 | 0.66x |
 Grumpig-Reverse FoilPSA 7 | $150 | 0.60x |
 Togetic-HoloPSA 7 | $443 | 1.77x |
 Mew ExPSA 10 | $695 | 2.78x |
 Flareon ExPSA 9 | $163 | 0.65x |
 ClefablePSA 9 | $152 | 0.61x |
 Bulbasaur-HoloPSA 10 | $250 | 1.00x |
 NidoqueenCGC 8 | $667 | 2.67x |
 M Rayquaza ExPSA 10 | $160 | 0.64x |
| Grumpig-Reverse FoilPSA 7 | $150 | 0.60x |
 Steven's Metagross ExPSA 10 | $163 | 0.65x |
 Vileplume GxPSA 10 | $250 | 1.00x |
 NoctowlPSA 10 | $155 | 0.62x |
 JynxPSA 8.5 | $184 | 0.74x |
 Shining Magikarp-HoloPSA 10 | $175 | 0.70x |
 Mega Gengar exCGC 10 Pristine | $405 | 1.62x |
 WartortleCGC 9 | $397 | 1.59x |
 Zangoose-Rev.foilPSA 9 | $414 | 1.66x |
 Reshiram ExPSA 10 | $380 | 1.52x |
| Flareon ExPSA 9 | $163 | 0.65x |
 Magikarp-HoloPSA 9 | $275 | 1.10x |
 FlareonPSA 10 | $170 | 0.68x |
 Pidgeot ExPSA 10 | $172 | 0.69x |
 MiloticCGC 8.5 | $228 | 0.91x |
 BulbasaurPSA 10 | $160 | 0.64x |
 Walrein Ex-HoloPSA 8 | $311 | 1.24x |
 Full Art / Suicune VPSA 10 | $207 | 0.83x |
 Mega Venusaur ExPSA 10 | $180 | 0.72x |
 Mega Gengar ExPSA 10 | $155 | 0.62x |
| Mega Venusaur ExPSA 10 | $180 | 0.72x |
 Mega Charizard Y ExPSA 8 | $240 | 0.96x |
 Computer SearchPSA 8 | $155 | 0.62x |
 Mega Charizard X ExPSA 10 | $160 | 0.64x |
 Mega Lucario ExPSA 9 | $167 | 0.67x |
 EnteiCGC 9 | $152 | 0.61x |
 WailordPSA 10 | $175 | 0.70x |
 DrowzeePSA 5 | $281 | 1.12x |
 Mega Feraligatr ExPSA 10 | $165 | 0.66x |
 IvysaurPSA 4 | $166 | 0.66x |
 Full Art / MewPSA 9 | $217 | 0.87x |
| Flareon ExPSA 9 | $163 | 0.65x |
 HaunterPSA 7 | $319 | 1.28x |
 Aura's Lucario-HoloPSA 8 | $227 | 0.91x |
 PikachuPSA 7 | $202 | 0.81x |
| Shining Magikarp-HoloPSA 10 | $175 | 0.70x |
 Full Art / Deoxys VmaxPSA 10 | $155 | 0.62x |
 Full Art / Lillie's Full ForcePSA 10 | $327 | 1.31x |
 Mega Lucario ExPSA 10 | $312 | 1.25x |
The newest 50 of 12,265 sampled. Sorting a column reorders these 50.