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Monster Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon + One Piece · publishes its own lifetime returns
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Graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon + One Piece · publishes its own lifetime returns
25.9% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 62.1% and 161.9% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $151 | not advertised | 5.9%n=513 |
| COMMON | $151–$250 | 72.3% | 69.2% n=6036 |
| UNCOMMON | $250–$500 | 21.7% | 18.1% n=1576 |
| RARE | $500–$1,000 | 4.5% | 5.5% n=483 |
| EPIC | $1,000–$2,500 | 1.3% | 1.1% n=97 |
| LEGENDARY | $2,500–$30,100 | 0.1% | 0.2% n=15 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 Full Art / Giratina VPSA 9 | $825 | 3.30x |
 WartortleCGC 8.5 | $178 | 0.71x |
 Full Art / Erika's HospitalityPSA 10 | $250 | 1.00x |
 Full Art / Simisear VstarPSA 10 | $153 | 0.61x |
 Captain PikachuPSA 10 | $705 | 2.82x |
 Charmeleon-Reverse FoilPSA 9 | $460 | 1.84x |
 PikachuPSA 10 | $160 | 0.64x |
| Full Art / Simisear VstarPSA 10 | $153 | 0.61x |
 Latias ExPSA 10 | $230 | 0.92x |
 Full Art / Jessie & JamesPSA 10 | $200 | 0.80x |
 MagnetonPSA 10 | $200 | 0.80x |
 Flareon ExPSA 9 | $185 | 0.74x |
 HoundoomPSA 9 | $234 | 0.94x |
 Leafeon GXPSA 10 | $203 | 0.81x |
 Charizard Spirit LinkPSA 10 | $270 | 1.08x |
 CubonePSA 9 | $242 | 0.97x |
 MetagrossPSA 10 | $185 | 0.74x |
 Jynx-Reverse FoilPSA 8 | $251 | 1.00x |
| HoundoomPSA 9 | $234 | 0.94x |
 Dark Raichu-HoloPSA 8 | $190 | 0.76x |
 Charizard ExPSA 10 | $168 | 0.67x |
 Mimikyu-HoloPSA 10 | $1,578 | 6.31x |
 Tyranitar δCGC 3 | $257 | 1.03x |
 Full Art / Charizard VPSA 10 | $152 | 0.61x |
 GengarPSA 7 | $191 | 0.77x |
 CharizardCGC 5 | $315 | 1.26x |
| Full Art / Erika's HospitalityPSA 10 | $250 | 1.00x |
 QuilavaCGC 8.5 | $160 | 0.64x |
 Reshiram ExPSA 10 | $445 | 1.78x |
 DratiniCGC 10 | $206 | 0.82x |
 Mega Gengar ExPSA 10 | $188 | 0.75x |
 Latias exPSA 9 | $160 | 0.64x |
 Reshiram ExPSA 10 | $240 | 0.96x |
 Fa / BiancaPSA 6 | $200 | 0.80x |
 Meganium-HoloPSA 7 | $187 | 0.75x |
 Hydreigon ExPSA 10 | $173 | 0.69x |
 MachopCGC 10 | $229 | 0.92x |
 SquirtleCGC 10 | $187 | 0.75x |
 KirliaPSA 10 | $560 | 2.24x |
 BlazikenPSA 10 | $165 | 0.66x |
| GengarPSA 7 | $191 | 0.77x |
 Venusaur ExPSA 10 | $178 | 0.71x |
| Reshiram ExPSA 10 | $240 | 0.96x |
 ElectrodePSA 8 | $158 | 0.63x |
 Full Art / GenesectPSA 10 | $155 | 0.62x |
| PikachuPSA 10 | $160 | 0.64x |
 Full Art / Tyranitar VPSA 9 | $225 | 0.90x |
 Deoxys δCGC 7.5 | $152 | 0.61x |
 LugiaPSA 6 | $2,434 | 9.74x |
 DiglettCGC 9 | $160 | 0.64x |
Showing 50 of 8,720 sampled — sorted across all of them.