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Monster Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon + One Piece · publishes its own lifetime returns
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Graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon + One Piece · publishes its own lifetime returns
30.5% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 62.0% and 176.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $30.00 | not advertised | 0.1%n=20 |
| COMMON | $30.00–$50.00 | 69.1% | 71.0% n=18776 |
| UNCOMMON | $50.00–$100 | 23.0% | 21.5% n=5683 |
| RARE | $100–$200 | 6.0% | 5.5% n=1467 |
| EPIC | $200–$500 | 1.7% | 1.8% n=468 |
| LEGENDARY | $500–$3,444 | 0.2% | 0.2% n=40 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 Full Art / SolrockPSA 10 | $32.10 | 0.64x |
 Full Art / MareepPSA 10 | $41.00 | 0.82x |
 Exeggcute δCGC 9 | $48.00 | 0.96x |
 GrowlithePSA 8 | $145 | 2.90x |
 Excadrill exCGC GM10 | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 Fire EnergyPSA 9 | $33.00 | 0.66x |
 GreavardPSA 9 | $40.00 | 0.80x |
 Farfetch'dCGC 9 | $48.39 | 0.97x |
 Mega Latias exCGC 10 Pristine | $78.00 | 1.56x |
 Full Art / SwabluPSA 10 | $31.00 | 0.62x |
 Jasmine's TM 02CGC 10 | $45.00 | 0.90x |
 Mega Floette ex SIRBGS 9.5 | $31.00 | 0.62x |
 Gust of WindPSA 9 | $36.00 | 0.72x |
 PikachuPSA 8 | $37.00 | — |
 PhanpyCGC GM10 | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 Team Rocket's WobbuffetPSA 10 | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 LoudredPSA 10 | $36.00 | 0.72x |
 Mew exCGC 8.5 | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 Fa/VictiniPSA 8 | $87.00 | 1.74x |
 VaporeonCGC 10 | $57.00 | 1.14x |
| Excadrill exCGC GM10 | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 Palkia GxPSA 8 | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 LickitungPSA 7 | $35.00 | 0.70x |
 Bouffalant ExPSA 10 | $31.00 | 0.62x |
 Cradily-HoloPSA 7 | $31.99 | 0.64x |
| Excadrill exCGC GM10 | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 IvysaurCGC 9.5 | $108 | 2.15x |
 Full Art / MiltankPSA 10 | $34.54 | 0.69x |
 Porygon2PSA 9 | $32.00 | 0.64x |
| PhanpyCGC GM10 | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 GeodudeCGC 9 | $111 | 2.23x |
| GreavardPSA 9 | $40.00 | 0.80x |
| Farfetch'dCGC 9 | $48.39 | 0.97x |
 Espeon exCGC 10 | $75.00 | 1.50x |
 Umbreon VPSA 9 | $54.00 | 1.08x |
 IvysaurPSA 9 | $73.50 | 1.47x |
 CyndaquilPSA 10 | $55.00 | 1.10x |
 Ethan's Ho-Oh exCGC 10 | $31.00 | 0.62x |
 Tauros GXCGC 8 | $36.97 | 0.74x |
| Bouffalant ExPSA 10 | $31.00 | 0.62x |
 Fa / Unown VPSA 9 | $59.99 | 1.20x |
 Latias ExPSA 10 | $189 | 3.77x |
| PikachuPSA 8 | $37.00 | 0.74x |
 OnixCGC 8.5 | $32.00 | 0.64x |
 MewtwoCGC 10 | $57.07 | 1.14x |
 FlygonPSA 6 | $38.00 | 0.76x |
 Fa / Ngndl.& Gzlord.gxPSA 10 | $125 | 2.49x |
 MachokeCGC 10 | $42.00 | 0.84x |
 Mega Dragonite ExPSA 9 | $35.00 | 0.70x |
 TornadusPSA 9 | $30.00 | 0.60x |
The newest 50 of 26,454 sampled. Sorting a column reorders these 50.