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Monster Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon + One Piece · publishes its own lifetime returns
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Graded-card gacha packs · Pokémon + One Piece · publishes its own lifetime returns
33.5% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 64.4% and 151.2% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $785 | not advertised | 5.6%n=248 |
| COMMON | $785–$1,250 | 72.7% | 62.2% n=2761 |
| UNCOMMON | $1,250–$2,500 | 21.4% | 27.7% n=1232 |
| RARE | $2,500–$5,000 | 5.2% | 3.7% n=165 |
| EPIC | $5,000–$12,500 | 0.6% | 0.7% n=30 |
| LEGENDARY | $12,500–$50,000 | 0.1% | 0.1% n=4 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 LugiaPSA 6 | $2,987 | 2.39x |
 Rayquaza VMAXCGC 10 | $1,080 | 0.86x |
 Gyarados-HoloPSA 6 | $2,800 | 2.24x |
 Mega Lucario ExPSA 10 | $861 | 0.69x |
 Umbreon-Reverse FoilPSA 9 | $1,114 | 0.89x |
 Fa/M Lucario ExPSA 10 | $1,000 | 0.80x |
 Flareon-HoloPSA 2 | $1,344 | 1.08x |
 MewtwoPSA 3 | $1,260 | 1.01x |
 Light Arcanine-HoloPSA 9 | $4,172 | 3.34x |
 HaunterPSA 10 | $2,799 | 2.24x |
 Flying PikachuPSA 9 | $900 | 0.72x |
 Celebi Ex-HoloPSA 2 | $1,017 | 0.81x |
 Mega Dragonite ExPSA 10 | $850 | 0.68x |
 Mewtwo GxPSA 8 | $810 | 0.65x |
 Regigigas Lv.x-HoloPSA 10 | $1,006 | 0.81x |
 Kyogre exCGC 4.5 | $808 | 0.65x |
 Pikachu with Grey Felt HatCGC 10 | $1,390 | 1.11x |
 Full Art / Eevee GxPSA 10 | $926 | 0.74x |
 Poncho-Wearing EeveePSA 9 | $1,016 | 0.81x |
 Jigglypuff-Reverse FoilPSA 9 | $899 | 0.72x |
| Flying PikachuPSA 9 | $900 | 0.72x |
| Jigglypuff-Reverse FoilPSA 9 | $899 | 0.72x |
 Mewtwo GxPSA 9 | $2,713 | 2.17x |
 WartortlePSA 8.5 | $996 | 0.80x |
 PiloswinePSA 10 | $1,078 | 0.86x |
| Celebi Ex-HoloPSA 2 | $1,017 | 0.81x |
 Vaporeon-Rev.FoilPSA 5 | $900 | 0.72x |
 AbraPSA 10 | $999 | 0.80x |
| AbraPSA 10 | $999 | 0.80x |
 CharizardPSA 5 | $1,800 | 1.44x |
 Full Art / Raichu & Alolan Raichu GxPSA 10 | $985 | 0.79x |
 Porygon-Z Lv.x-HoloPSA 10 | $810 | 0.65x |
 Shining KabutopsPSA 10 | $4,920 | 3.94x |
 BeedrillPSA 9 | $831 | 0.66x |
| Mega Lucario ExPSA 10 | $861 | 0.69x |
 Pikachu with Grey Felt HatPSA 9 | $830 | 0.66x |
 Full Art / Giratina VPSA 9 | $900 | 0.72x |
| Jigglypuff-Reverse FoilPSA 9 | $899 | 0.72x |
 Dark Dragonite-Reverse FoilPSA 5 | $995 | 0.80x |
 SquirtlePSA 10 | $950 | 0.76x |
 Fa/MewPSA 10 | $1,950 | 1.56x |
 Shining MewPSA 2 | $771 | 0.62x |
 Shining SteelixPSA 8 | $1,518 | 1.21x |
| Shining MewPSA 2 | $771 | 0.62x |
 Dusknoir Lv.x-HoloPSA 10 | $965 | 0.77x |
 PikachuPSA 10 | $1,350 | 1.08x |
| Full Art / Raichu & Alolan Raichu GxPSA 10 | $985 | 0.79x |
 CharizardCGC 8.5 | $1,821 | 1.46x |
| Kyogre exCGC 4.5 | $808 | 0.65x |
 Dark Dragonite-HoloPSA 8.5 | $798 | 0.64x |
The newest 50 of 4,440 sampled. Sorting a column reorders these 50.