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NFW Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
On-chain SOL gacha · graded cards from the Collector Crypt vault · published EV
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On-chain SOL gacha · graded cards from the Collector Crypt vault · published EV
31.3% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 48.5% and 134.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do. Only 32 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
| $57.38 | 0.88x | |
| $425 | 6.15x | |
| $44.65 | 0.90x | |
| $24.56 | 0.47x | |
| $24.24 | 0.52x | |
| $24.20 | 0.56x | |
| $23.89 | 0.48x | |
| $23.89 | 0.55x | |
| $25.32 | 0.63x | |
| $41.86 | 1.03x | |
| $57.24 | 1.35x | |
| $53.42 | 1.23x | |
| $25.68 | 0.57x | |
| $26.62 | 0.47x | |
| $50.72 | 0.90x | |
| $22.88 | 0.53x | |
| $27.32 | 0.66x | |
2023 POKEMON JPN SV4A-SHINY TREA | $130 | 2.93x |
| $46.46 | 1.03x | |
| $59.36 | 1.21x | |
| $24.16 | 0.54x | |
| $20.93 | 0.50x | |
| $23.44 | 0.61x | |
| $46.79 | 1.18x | |
| $26.28 | 0.69x | |
| $56.84 | 1.43x | |
| $20.59 | 0.45x | |
| $24.13 | 0.58x | |
| $46.03 | 1.08x | |
| $24.97 | 0.62x | |
| $32.21 | 0.87x | |
| $24.79 | 0.70x |
Showing 32 of 32 sampled — sorted across all of them.