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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
84.7% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 79.0% and 230.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $50.00 | not advertised | 4.4%n=9 |
| $50–100 | $50.00–$100 | 52.1% | 17.6% n=36 |
| $100–300 | $100–$300 | 46.6% | 73.0% n=149 |
| $300–1,000 | $300–$1,000 | 1.2% | 4.9% n=10 |
| $1,000–1,600 | $1,000–$1,600 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2020 Panini Hoops #238 Tyrese Haliburton Green Explosion | $175 | 1.75x |
| 2020 Panini Hoops #238 Tyrese Haliburton Green Explosion | $175 | 1.75x |
 1993 Ultra Scoring Kings #7 Alonzo Mourning | $185 | 1.85x |
 2020 Panini Mosaic Stained Glass #3 Kevin Durant | $128 | 1.28x |
 1984 Star #66 Ron Brewer | $190 | 1.90x |
 2023 Panini Select #87 Victor Wembanyama Blue | $140 | 1.40x |
 2022 Panini Select #218 Cade Cunningham Green Disco | $312 | 3.12x |
 2023-24 Panini Flawless Horizontal Patch Autographs HPA-JWL Jalen Wilson | $164 | 1.64x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #146 Olivier-Maxence Prosper Pink Fast Break | $174 | 1.74x |
 2021 Panini Mosaic #255 Cameron Thomas Gold Mosaic | $230 | 2.30x |
 1995 Metal #157 Brent Barry | $120 | 1.20x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #150 Amen Thompson White Prizm | $490 | 4.90x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic Full Capacity #22 Luka Doncic | $155 | 1.55x |
 2021 Panini Contenders Optic Uniformity #4 Jayson Tatum Gold | $168 | 1.68x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Glass Canvas #GC-11 Shaquille O'Neal | $165 | 1.65x |
 2022 Panini Obsidian #33 Alperen Sengun Electric Etch White Pulsar | $220 | 2.20x |
 2023 Panini Mosaic Storm Chasers #3 Victor Wembanyama | $143 | 1.43x |
| 2020 Panini Hoops #238 Tyrese Haliburton Green Explosion | $175 | 1.75x |
 1994 Topps Embossed #121 Michael Jordan Golden Idols | $200 | 2.00x |
| 1995 Metal #157 Brent Barry | $120 | 1.20x |
 2018 Panini Select #7 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Tri-Color Prizm | $175 | 1.75x |
 1995 Ultra Double Trouble #3 Michael Jordan | $311 | 3.11x |
 1961 Fleer #57 Rudy Larusso In Action | $150 | 1.50x |
 2022 Panini Obsidian #57 Stephen Curry Electric Etch White Pulsar | $275 | 2.75x |
 2022-23 Panini Prizm 246 Jalen Williams Red | $139 | 1.39x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Deca #278 Brandon Miller Gold Prizm | $550 | 5.50x |
 1996 Upper Deck #58 Kobe Bryant | $155 | 1.55x |
 2002 Sa-Ge Pangos #1 LeBron James Hand Cut | $300 | 3.00x |
 2023 Bowman University Chrome 2007-08 Bowman Autographs #BJ Bronny James | $230 | 2.30x |
 1996 Sp #134 Kobe Bryant | $170 | 1.70x |
| 2024 Panini Mosaic Full Capacity #22 Luka Doncic | $155 | 1.55x |
 2023 Panini Hoops Premium Stock Sheesh #12 Victor Wembanyama Red Seismic Prizm | $250 | 2.50x |
 1995 Metal #157 Brent Barry | $120 | 1.20x |
 1995 Fleer Total D #3 Michael Jordan | $200 | 2.00x |
| 1995 Metal #157 Brent Barry | $120 | 1.20x |
 2022 Panini Crown Royale Rookie Crown Autographs #RCACHG Chet Holmgren Asia Red | $153 | 1.53x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Deca Signatures #PDSBUZ Matas Buzelis Purple Prizm | $250 | 2.50x |
 2021 Panini Select #12 Luka Doncic Cosmic Prizm | $130 | 1.30x |
 2026 Topps Living #13 Dylan Harper | $170 | 1.70x |
 2018 Panini Chronicles #571 Luka Doncic | $200 | 2.00x |
| 2023 Panini Mosaic Storm Chasers #3 Victor Wembanyama | $143 | 1.43x |
| 2022 Panini Crown Royale Rookie Crown Autographs #RCACHG Chet Holmgren Asia Red | $153 | 1.53x |
 2024 Panini Donruss #253 Donovan Clingan Rated Rookie Signature-Holo Gold Laser | $200 | 2.00x |
 2025 Topps #204 Kon Knueppel Topps Foil | $160 | 1.60x |
 1996 Collector's Choice International #25 Michael Jordan German | $250 | 2.50x |
 1995 Topps Top Flight #TF1 Michael Jordan | $165 | 1.65x |
 2020 Panini Prizm #262 Tyrese Haliburton Orange Ice | $120 | 1.20x |
 1972 Topps #255 Julius Erving Aba All-Stars | $145 | 1.45x |
 2025 Topps Silver Pack 1980-81 Topps Chrome Basketball #TC-CE Vj Edgecombe | $120 | 1.20x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Clutch Gene #CG-19 Paolo Banchero Gold Geometric | $175 | 1.75x |
Showing 50 of 204 sampled — sorted across all of them.