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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
62.5% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 50.0% and 184.5%. Only 72 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $250 | not advertised | 9.7%n=7 |
| $250–500 | $250–$500 | 48.8% | 30.6% n=22 |
| $500–1,500 | $500–$1,500 | 50.1% | 58.3% n=42 |
| $1,500–5,000 | $1,500–$5,000 | 0.9% | 1.4% n=1 |
| $5,000–8,000 | $5,000–$8,000 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2006 Upper Deck Chronology Mvp Winners Autograph #MVPBR Bill Russell | $850 | 1.70x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Black Kaleidoscopic #5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Gold Prizm | $623 | 1.25x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #251 Cooper Flagg Blue X-Fractor | $750 | 1.50x |
 2023 Panini Phoenix Fade to Black #11 Victor Wembanyama Green Lazer | $1,150 | 2.30x |
 2013 Panini Hoops Signatures #172 Giannis Antetokounmpo | $620 | 1.24x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #251 Cooper Flagg Red White and Blue Refractor | $950 | 1.90x |
 2007 Topps Chrome #23 LeBron James 1957-58 Variation-Refractor | $900 | 1.80x |
 2025 Topps Cosmic Chrome Planetary Pursuit #8 Cooper Flagg Earth | $1,250 | 2.50x |
 2021 Panini Select #94 Stephen Curry Gold Shimmer | $750 | 1.50x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-KK Kon Knueppel Purple Refractor | $1,000 | 2.00x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Go Time #GT-16 Cooper Flagg Pulsar | $790 | 1.58x |
 2020 Panini Spectra Color Blast #15 Donovan Mitchell | $620 | 1.24x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition Topps Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-DQ Derik Queen Gold | $600 | 1.20x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Anime Nba #NBA-A24 Kon Knueppel | $850 | 1.70x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #253 Vj Edgecombe Image Variation-Green Speckle | $600 | 1.20x |
 2020 Panini Origins Origins Autographs #MAX Tyrese Maxey Gold Ink | $600 | 1.20x |
| 2024 Panini Prizm Black Kaleidoscopic #5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Gold Prizm | $623 | 1.25x |
| 2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition Topps Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-DQ Derik Queen Gold | $600 | 1.20x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Ultra Violet #UV-12 Dylan Harper | $999 | 2.00x |
 2018 Panini Donruss Optic #177 Luka Doncic Red | $600 | 1.20x |
 1993 Finest #212 Chris Webber Refractor | $280 | 0.56x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Deca #278 Brandon Miller Gold Prizm | $550 | 1.10x |
 2009 Panini #372 Stephen Curry | $570 | 1.14x |
 1971 Topps #170 Rick Barry | $600 | 1.20x |
 2018 Panini Select Signatures #LBD Larry Bird Tie-Dye Prizm | $301 | 0.60x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies #RR-3 Vj Edgecombe | $575 | 1.15x |
| 2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition Topps Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-DQ Derik Queen Gold | $600 | 1.20x |
 2022 Panini Crown Royale #4 Dyson Daniels Crystal Black Fotl | $320 | 0.64x |
 2023 Panini Phoenix Genies #11 Victor Wembanyama | $400 | 0.80x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #252 Dylan Harper X-Fractor | $750 | 1.50x |
 1995 Finest Mystery #M1 Michael Jordan Borderless | $425 | 0.85x |
 2013 Panini National Treasures Material Treasures Signatures #MT-KL Kawhi Leonard | $260 | 0.52x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #228 Jaylon Tyson Cherry Blossom Choice | $373 | 0.75x |
 2018-19 Panini Prizm 184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | $250 | 0.50x |
| 2024 Panini Prizm Black Kaleidoscopic #5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Gold Prizm | $623 | 1.25x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #127 LeBron James Prism Refractor | $350 | 0.70x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Clutch Gene #CG-22 Dirk Nowitzki White Geometric | $350 | 0.70x |
| 2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition Topps Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-DQ Derik Queen Gold | $600 | 1.20x |
 2021 Panini Prizm #165 Austin Reaves Silver Prizm | $500 | 1.00x |
 2023 Panini Prizm Draft Picks #13 Matas Buzelis Green Shimmer Fotl | $400 | 0.80x |
 1996 Bowman's Best Honor Roll #HR7 A.mourning / S.O'Neal Atomic Refractor | $825 | 1.65x |
| 2024 Panini Prizm Black Kaleidoscopic #5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Gold Prizm | $623 | 1.25x |
 2022 Panini Prizm Monopoly #26 Jaden Ivey Boardwalk Blue | $275 | 0.55x |
 2023 Panini Phoenix #174 Stephen Curry Purple | $200 | 0.40x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama | $380 | 0.76x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #150 Amen Thompson Red Sparkle | $265 | 0.53x |
 2021 Panini Prizm Signatures #SGNJK Nikola Jokic Mojo Prizm | $700 | 1.40x |
 2026 Topps Living #13 Dylan Harper | $170 | 0.34x |
 2024-25 Panini Select Youth Explosion Signatures YE-BUZ Matas Buzelis Red Flash | $148 | 0.30x |
 2025 Topps Cosmic Chrome Planetary Pursuit #6 Victor Wembanyama Mercury | $520 | 1.04x |
Showing 50 of 72 sampled — sorted across all of them.