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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
89.3% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 94.0% and 190.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $50.00 | not advertised | 1.3%n=5 |
| $50–100 | $50.00–$100 | 55.4% | 13.8% n=55 |
| $100–300 | $100–$300 | 43.5% | 82.2% n=328 |
| $300–1,000 | $300–$1,000 | 1.1% | 2.8% n=11 |
| $1,000–1,600 | $1,000–$1,600 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2020 Panini Hoops #238 Tyrese Haliburton Green Explosion | $175 | 1.75x |
 2025 Panini Mosaic #321 Nick Emmanwori Autograph-Fusion Red & Yellow Choice | $185 | 1.85x |
 2022 Panini Prizm #266 Chet Holmgren Silver Prizm | $180 | 1.80x |
 2020 Topps Chrome #200 Yordan Alvarez Refractor | $120 | 1.20x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects #BCP50 Jesus Made Reptilian Refractor | $180 | 1.80x |
 2020 Panini Prizm #262 Tyrese Haliburton Orange Ice | $120 | 1.20x |
 2021 Panini Prizm #343 Najee Harris Blue Ice | $120 | 1.20x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #310 Justin Shorter Blue Shimmer | $120 | 1.20x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #378 Jalin Hyatt Red Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
 2020 Panini Prizm #325 Justin Herbert Disco Prizm | $180 | 1.80x |
 2023 Bowman's Best Best of 2023 Autographs #B23MH Michael Harris II Blue Refractor | $150 | 1.50x |
 2023 Topps Composite #89 Lawrence Taylor Purple and Yellow Static | $150 | 1.50x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPAJB Josue Briceno | $170 | 1.70x |
 2024 Panini Donruss #303 JJ Mccarthy Press Proof Purple | $120 | 1.20x |
| 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects #BCP50 Jesus Made Reptilian Refractor | $180 | 1.80x |
 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPACN Chris Newell Gold Refractor | $120 | 1.20x |
 2021 Panini Phoenix #131 Amon-Ra St. Brown Red Lazer | $165 | 1.65x |
 2024 Bowman Gladiators of the Diamond #GOTD10 Paul Skenes | $160 | 1.60x |
 2021 Topps Chrome 1986 Topps Baseball #86BC9 Shohei Ohtani | $200 | 2.00x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Kaleidoscopic #19 Stephon Castle Silver Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
 2024 Topps Chrome Chrome All Etch Autographs #CEAJR Julio Rodriguez | $250 | 2.50x |
| 2020 Panini Prizm #325 Justin Herbert Disco Prizm | $180 | 1.80x |
 2022 Panini National Vip #44 Mike Trout Gold | $175 | 1.75x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #367 Luke Mccaffrey Red Sparkle | $120 | 1.20x |
 2025 Bowman Draft Mega Box Chrome Prospects #1 Eli Willits | $155 | 1.55x |
 2025 Topps Silver Pack 1980-81 Topps Chrome Basketball #TC-CE Vj Edgecombe | $120 | 1.20x |
| 2024 Panini Donruss #303 JJ Mccarthy Press Proof Purple | $120 | 1.20x |
 2026 Topps Now World Baseball Classic #WBCO John Cena / Shohei Ohtani | $160 | 1.60x |
 2015 Panini Prizm #298 Tyler Lockett Blue Prizm | $165 | 1.65x |
| 2021 Panini Prizm #343 Najee Harris Blue Ice | $120 | 1.20x |
| 2022 Panini National Vip #44 Mike Trout Gold | $175 | 1.75x |
 2025 Panini Prizm #352 Cam Ward Lazer Prizm | $150 | 1.50x |
 2022 Topps Cosmic Chrome #128 Juan Soto Orange Galactic Refractor | $160 | 1.60x |
 2025 Panini Mosaic Kaleidoscopic #13 Jalen Hurts | $195 | 1.95x |
 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects #BCP11 Moises Ballesteros Green Refractor | $120 | 1.20x |
 2022 Topps Cosmic Chrome #41 Jeremy Pena Gold Interstellar Refractor | $120 | 1.20x |
 2024 Panini Select #26 Jayden Daniels Silver Prizm | $155 | 1.55x |
 2017 Panini Select '18 Nfl Draft Xrc Prizm Redemption #307 Rashaad Penny Tie-Dye Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
| 2024 Panini Prizm Kaleidoscopic #19 Stephon Castle Silver Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
 2021 Bowman Heritage Chrome Prospect Autographs #93PAJW Jordan Westburg Orange Refractor | $150 | 1.50x |
 2021 Panini Mosaic #305V Devonta Smith Variation-No Huddle Silver | $190 | 1.90x |
| 2024 Panini Prizm #367 Luke Mccaffrey Red Sparkle | $120 | 1.20x |
 2024 Panini Select #24 JJ Mccarthy Red Shock | $190 | 1.90x |
| 2020 Panini Hoops #238 Tyrese Haliburton Green Explosion | $175 | 1.75x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPAKFO Kale Fountain Blue Reptilian | $120 | 1.20x |
| 2022 Panini Prizm #266 Chet Holmgren Silver Prizm | $180 | 1.80x |
 2010 Playoff Contenders Patches #93 LeBron James | $172 | 1.72x |
 2022 Panini Diamond Kings Downtown #D18 Bryce Harper | $700 | 7.00x |
 2025 Topps X Bob Ross the Joy of Baseball #9 Paul Skenes | $195 | 1.95x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #367 Luke Mccaffrey Orange Ice | $173 | 1.73x |
Showing 50 of 399 sampled — sorted across all of them.