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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
38.2% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 16.9% and 190.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do. Only 55 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $500 | not advertised | 32.1%n=18 |
| $500–1,000 | $500–$1,000 | 52.4% | 28.6% n=16 |
| $1,000–3,000 | $1,000–$3,000 | 46.0% | 33.9% n=19 |
| $3,000–10,000 | $3,000–$10,000 | 1.4% | 3.6% n=2 |
| $10,000–16,000 | $10,000–$16,000 | 0.2% | 1.8% n=1 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D15 Jaxon Smith-Njigba | $1,700 | 1.70x |
 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPAJCR Junior Caminero Speckle Refractor | $1,850 | 1.85x |
 2000 Upper Deck Graded #104 Tom Brady | $11,500 | 11.5x |
 2025 Topps Cosmic Chrome Solar Flare Signatures #SFS-BS Barry Sanders Orange Galactic | $1,300 | 1.30x |
 2024 Bowman Chrome Bowman Garbage Pail Kids #BGP21 Yoshinobu Yamamoto Dodging Yamamoto | $1,300 | 1.30x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Downtown! #2 Josh Allen | $1,750 | 1.75x |
 2024 Topps Chrome Update Chrome Baseball Update Series Autographs #RAPS Paul Skenes | $1,300 | 1.30x |
 2014 Panini Spectra Cornerstones Prizm #15 Tom Brady Gold | $2,400 | 2.40x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #19 Bo Nix | $1,850 | 1.85x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams Silver Prizm | $1,625 | 1.63x |
 2022 Panini Prizm Sensational Signatures #SSJI Jaden Ivey Choice | $230 | 0.23x |
 2024 Bowman 1955 Bowman Anime #BA14 Julio Rodriguez Gold Refractor | $860 | 0.86x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown #9 Ceedee Lamb | $605 | 0.60x |
 2024-25 Topps Chrome Uefa Club Competitions Chrome Autographs #KE Roy Keane Orange Lava | $290 | 0.29x |
 2022 Topps Pristine #193 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Red Refractor | $100 | 0.10x |
 2022 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DTAH Aidan Hutchinson Black Pandora | $5,350 | 5.35x |
 1991 Upper Deck #34 Magic Vs. Jordan | $198 | 0.20x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Optic Uptown #20 Tetairoa Mcmillan | $520 | 0.52x |
 2020 Panini Donruss Optic #151 Joe Burrow Autograph-Holo | $4,500 | 4.50x |
 2024 Bowman Sterling Rookies Autographs #RAED Elly De La Cruz | $377 | 0.38x |
 2021 Bowman Next #34A Chet Holmgren Autograph | $120 | 0.12x |
 2025 Topps Takashi Murakami + Mlb World Tour Tokyo Series #1 Shohei Ohtani | $760 | 0.76x |
 2024 Panini Select #265 Luka Doncic Gold Prizm | $999 | 1.00x |
 2026 Topps Now #FMEN Fernando Mendoza | $375 | 0.38x |
 2024 Panini Spectra Gamma #GBTJ Brian Thomas Jr. Interstellar | $105 | 0.10x |
 2025 Topps Clutch City Prospects #CC-1 Cooper Flagg Purple Holo Foil | $700 | 0.70x |
 1997 Topps #115 Tim Duncan | $255 | 0.26x |
 2024 Panini Select Rookie Signatures #RSPMPJ Michael Penix Jr. Blue Prizm | $140 | 0.14x |
 2020 Panini Donruss Optic #151 Anthony Edwards Holo | $390 | 0.39x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic White Hot Rookies #2 Victor Wembanyama | $150 | 0.15x |
 2024 Panini Donruss #303 JJ Mccarthy Press Proof Purple | $120 | 0.12x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Downtown! #9 Dick Butkus | $400 | 0.40x |
 2021 Panini Select #251 Mac Jones Gold Disco Prizm | $220 | 0.22x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Deca #189 Blake Corum Black Gold Shimmer Fotl | $210 | 0.21x |
 2025 Panini Prizm Color Blast #27 Christian Mccaffrey | $1,150 | 1.15x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D13 Saquon Barkley | $650 | 0.65x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Instinct #INS-12 Dylan Harper Purple Refractor | $800 | 0.80x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Gridiron Marvels #GM-TSH Tyler Shough | $700 | 0.70x |
 2023 Panini Phoenix Fade to Black #11 Victor Wembanyama Green Lazer | $1,150 | 1.15x |
 2021 Panini Donruss Optic #207 Ja'Marr Chase Autograph | $700 | 0.70x |
 2018 Topps Chrome #150 Shohei Ohtani | $1,934 | 1.93x |
 2025 Panini Prizm Color Blast #27 Christian Mccaffrey | $1,150 | 1.15x |
 2025 Panini Prizm #332 Jaxson Dart Pink Prizm | $500 | 0.50x |
 2021 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT9 Lamar Jackson | $1,150 | 1.15x |
 2018 Topps Update #US1 Shohei Ohtani | $585 | 0.58x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic Hidden Potential #HPJSN Jaxon Smith-Njigba Gold | $1,200 | 1.20x |
 2025 Panini Select #88 Jayden Daniels Zebra Shock | $430 | 0.43x |
 2023 Panini Prizm Manga #MGA1 Ken Griffey Jr. | $1,185 | 1.19x |
 2023 Panini Select #288 Victor Wembanyama Pink Cracked Ice | $2,700 | 2.70x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns #20 Patrick Mahomes II | $760 | 0.76x |
Showing 50 of 56 sampled — sorted across all of them.