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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
48.2% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 50.0% and 160.0%. Only 56 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $250 | not advertised | 8.9%n=5 |
| $250–500 | $250–$500 | 52.6% | 42.9% n=24 |
| $500–1,500 | $500–$1,500 | 46.3% | 48.2% n=27 |
| $1,500–5,000 | $1,500–$5,000 | 1.0% | 0.0% n=0 |
| $5,000–8,000 | $5,000–$8,000 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2025 Topps Chrome Go Time #GT-16 Cooper Flagg Pulsar | $790 | 1.58x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Mcdonald's All American Billboard Ink #AD AJ Dybantsa | $1,250 | 2.50x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic #229 Drake Maye Blue Glitter | $600 | 1.20x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Optic Passing Grade #3 Shedeur Sanders Autograph | $217 | 0.43x |
 2024 Panini Select #246 JJ Mccarthy Blue Prizm | $259 | 0.52x |
 2025 Topps Cosmic Chrome #183 Nick Kurtz Nucleus | $250 | 0.50x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Fanatical #FAN-22 Dylan Harper | $770 | 1.54x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Black Groovy #15 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | $650 | 1.30x |
 2025 Topps #211 Cedric Coward Orange Rainbow | $250 | 0.50x |
 2023 Panini Luminance Luminosity #LUM24 AJ Brown | $190 | 0.38x |
 2021 Panini Donruss Optic #169 Alperen Sengun Autograph-Fast Break | $375 | 0.75x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown #17 Shedeur Sanders | $620 | 1.24x |
 2022 Panini Donruss Optic #209 Bennedict Mathurin Signature-Purple | $239 | 0.48x |
 2023 Panini Select #141 Giannis Antetokounmpo Elephant Prizm | $187 | 0.37x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPACAR Cristian Arguelles Blue Refractor | $1,040 | 2.08x |
 1983 Topps Traded #96T Leon Roberts | $275 | 0.55x |
 2022 Panini Prizm Fast Break Autographs #FBJSJ John Stockton | $325 | 0.65x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic #229 Drake Maye Holo | $395 | 0.79x |
 2025 Panini Origins Dual Rookie Autographs #DA-3 Colston Loveland / Tyler Warren | $550 | 1.10x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #221 Victor Wembanyama X-Fractor | $300 | 0.60x |
 2024 Topps Chrome Helix #HX11 Elly De La Cruz | $550 | 1.10x |
 2019 Panini Prizm #248 Zion Williamson Silver Prizm | $285 | 0.57x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #347 Jayden Daniels Red / White / Blue Prizm | $250 | 0.50x |
 2022 Panini Prizm #250 Shaedon Sharpe Purple Prizm | $400 | 0.80x |
 2023 Panini Select Thunder Lane #5 Victor Wembanyama Silver Prizm | $400 | 0.80x |
 2024 Topps Chrome Sapphire Sapphire Selections #SS1 Caleb Williams | $499 | 1.00x |
 1998 Topps #352 Randy Moss | $270 | 0.54x |
 2020 Panini Donruss Optic #151 Joe Burrow Holo | $333 | 0.67x |
 2024 Topps Chrome Update #USC108 Yoshinobu Yamamoto Aqua / Blue Lava Lamp | $300 | 0.60x |
 2018 Topps Update #US1 Shohei Ohtani | $606 | 1.21x |
 2018-19 Panini Prizm 184 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | $250 | 0.50x |
 2025 Panini Select #413 Sam Darnold Gold Prizm | $550 | 1.10x |
 2025 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #30 Quinshon Judkins | $900 | 1.80x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Sublime #25 Victor Wembanyama | $600 | 1.20x |
 2023 Topps Cosmic Chrome Planetary Pursuit #PPJ1 Jayson Tatum Jupiter | $525 | 1.05x |
 2004 Upper Deck Rookie Premiere #5 Larry Fitzgerald Gold | $400 | 0.80x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #357 Puka Nacua Blue Ice | $606 | 1.21x |
 2021 Panini Select Select Numbers #SN1 Patrick Mahomes II Gold Prizm | $925 | 1.85x |
| 2024 Panini Prizm Sublime #25 Victor Wembanyama | $600 | 1.20x |
 2018 Panini Donruss Optic #162 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Shock | $310 | 0.62x |
 2023 Panini Clearly Donruss #34 Justin Jefferson Autograph | $265 | 0.53x |
 2020 Panini Spectra Color Blast #15 Donovan Mitchell | $620 | 1.24x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown #7 Saquon Barkley | $800 | 1.60x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic Showtime Signatures #SSBTJ Brian Thomas Jr. Black Gold Choice | $800 | 1.60x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Fast Break Signatures #FBS-GIA Giannis Antetokounmpo Gold | $580 | 1.16x |
 1992 Hoops #338 Clyde Drexler Usa | $250 | 0.50x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns #3 Bo Nix | $700 | 1.40x |
 2025 Panini Prizm Black Prizmania #19 Steve Young | $1,200 | 2.40x |
 2021 Panini Donruss Optic #201 Trevor Lawrence Aqua | $375 | 0.75x |
| 2023 Panini Clearly Donruss #34 Justin Jefferson Autograph | $265 | 0.53x |
Showing 50 of 56 sampled — sorted across all of them.