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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
90.2% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 100.0% and 220.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $50.00 | not advertised | 1.8%n=7 |
| $50–100 | $50.00–$100 | 50.7% | 12.6% n=48 |
| $100–300 | $100–$300 | 48.2% | 81.1% n=308 |
| $300–1,000 | $300–$1,000 | 1.1% | 4.2% n=16 |
| $1,000–1,600 | $1,000–$1,600 | 0.0% | 0.3% n=1 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2024 Panini Score #319 Brian Thomas Jr. Circular | $204 | 2.04x |
 2024 Topps Chrome Rookie Autographs Variations #RAMNA Malik Nabers | $215 | 2.15x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #385 Rome Odunze Autograph-Red Wave | $120 | 1.20x |
 2022 Panini Luminance #101 Kenny Pickett Gold | $150 | 1.50x |
 2024 Panini Absolute #108 Michael Penix Jr. Signature-Spectrum | $190 | 1.90x |
 2023 Topps Composite #89 Lawrence Taylor Purple and Yellow Static | $150 | 1.50x |
 2024 Panini Absolute #108 Michael Penix Jr. Orange Mosaic | $151 | 1.51x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic #207 Keaton Mitchell Autograph-Holo | $165 | 1.65x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic #323 Brian Thomas Jr. Autograph-Purple | $198 | 1.98x |
 2020 Panini Chronicles Score #451 Ceedee Lamb Gold Zone | $165 | 1.65x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #310 Justin Shorter Blue Shimmer | $120 | 1.20x |
 2024 Panini Select #24 JJ Mccarthy Red Shock | $190 | 1.90x |
 2021 Panini Select Rookie Signature Memorabilia #RSMASB Amon-Ra St. Brown | $150 | 1.50x |
 1961 Lake to Lake Packers #13 Jim Taylor | $120 | 1.20x |
 2018 Panini Prizm #249 Jaire Alexander Green Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #378 Jalin Hyatt Red Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
 2020 Panini Donruss Optic #175 Cam Akers Autograph-Purple Stars | $175 | 1.75x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Optic Uptown #9 Jalen Hurts | $240 | 2.40x |
 2022 Panini Gold Standard Rookie Jersey Autographs Jumbo Relics #RAJKPI Kenny Pickett | $250 | 2.50x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Draft Picks #102 Ollie Gordon II Gold Shimmer | $211 | 2.11x |
 2024 Bowman University Chrome #38 Cameron Ward Yellow Refractor | $180 | 1.80x |
 2020 Panini Mosaic #272 Chase Young Gold Fluorescent | $155 | 1.55x |
| 2023 Panini Prizm #378 Jalin Hyatt Red Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
 1955 Bowman #148 Frank Varrichione | $175 | 1.75x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Unleashed #UNL15 Josh Jacobs | $120 | 1.20x |
 2023 Topps Composite Topps Chrome Autographs #TCAWL Will Levis Refractor | $155 | 1.55x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Draft Picks #105 Bo Nix Green Prizm | $140 | 1.40x |
 2021 Panini Select Rookie Signatures #RSJWA Jaylen Waddle | $135 | 1.35x |
 2022 Panini Origins Blank Slate #BLS16 Ja'Marr Chase | $215 | 2.15x |
 2022 Panini Contenders Optic #105 Breece Hall Autograph | $125 | 1.25x |
| 2023 Topps Composite Topps Chrome Autographs #TCAWL Will Levis Refractor | $155 | 1.55x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic #304 Marvin Harrison Jr. Red Sparkle | $135 | 1.35x |
| 2022 Panini Origins Blank Slate #BLS16 Ja'Marr Chase | $215 | 2.15x |
 2023 Panini Mosaic #313 Devon Witherspoon White | $233 | 2.33x |
 1957 Topps #126 Jack Scarbath | $160 | 1.60x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic #274 Christian Gonzalez Orange | $150 | 1.50x |
 2024 Panini Select #249 Derrick Henry Gold Shock | $150 | 1.50x |
 2026 Topps Now #FMEN Fernando Mendoza | $375 | 3.75x |
| 2023 Panini Prizm #310 Justin Shorter Blue Shimmer | $120 | 1.20x |
 2024 Panini Phoenix #221 Malik Nabers Red | $180 | 1.80x |
 2000 E-X E-Xceptional #2 Peyton Manning Green | $151 | 1.51x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Downtown! #8 Terrell Owens | $245 | 2.45x |
| 2023 Panini Prizm #378 Jalin Hyatt Red Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
| 2018 Panini Prizm #249 Jaire Alexander Green Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
 1972 Topps #348 George Blanda In Action | $150 | 1.50x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic #213 Bryce Young Aqua | $170 | 1.70x |
 2023 Panini Select Rookie Swatches #RSWJSN Jaxon Smith-Njigba White Prizm | $160 | 1.60x |
 2024 Topps Midnight Rookie Horizon Signatures #RHSJD Jayden Daniels | $245 | 2.45x |
 2024 Panini Donruss #379 Drake Maye Optic Preview-Red Pandora | $310 | 3.10x |
 1999 Upper Deck Century Legends #106 Walter Payton Century Collection | $190 | 1.90x |
Showing 50 of 380 sampled — sorted across all of them.