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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
70.0% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 72.0% and 288.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $12.50 | not advertised | 0.8%n=7 |
| $12–25 | $12.50–$25.00 | 62.6% | 30.4% n=258 |
| $25–75 | $25.00–$75.00 | 36.3% | 59.6% n=506 |
| $75–250 | $75.00–$250 | 1.1% | 8.8% n=75 |
| $250–400 | $250–$400 | 0.1% | 0.4% n=3 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2023 Panini Prizm Emergent #H16 Travis Etienne Jr. Blue Ice | $50.00 | 2.00x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #195 Justin Jefferson Red / White / Blue Prizm | $42.00 | — |
 2021 Panini Donruss Optic the Rookies Autographs #TR10 Kyle Pitts | $47.50 | 1.90x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Vortex #VORJDA Jayden Daniels Cosmic | $45.00 | 1.80x |
 1983 Topps #36 Walter Payton | $42.00 | 1.68x |
 2023 Panini Select #284 Cooper Kupp Red Prizm | $42.00 | 1.68x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #312 Jonathan Mingo Pink Prizm | $30.00 | 1.20x |
 1998 Skybox E-X2001 #54 Peyton Manning | $68.00 | 2.72x |
 2024 Panini Prizm Draft Picks Saturday Star Signatures #SSSJMI Jalen Milroe Hyper Prizm | $140 | 5.60x |
 1988 Topps #279 Sean Landeta | $42.00 | 1.68x |
 2025 Panini Phoenix #154 Shedeur Sanders Silver Lava | $40.00 | 1.60x |
 1990 Pro Set Super Bowl Mvp's #3 Joe Namath | $42.00 | 1.68x |
 2025 Panini Rookies & Stars #139 Jaydon Blue Gold | $45.00 | 1.80x |
 1993 Stadium Club #60 Dan Marino | $47.25 | 1.89x |
 1977 Topps #177 Steve Largent | $47.00 | 1.88x |
 1989 Score #257 Barry Sanders | $63.00 | 2.52x |
 1993 Sp #158 Qadry Ismail | $68.00 | 2.72x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic #201 Caleb Williams Purple Shock | $47.00 | 1.88x |
 2008 Score Select #255 James Harrison | $40.00 | 1.60x |
 2013 Topps Chrome #21 Geno Smith Variation | $94.50 | 3.78x |
 2024 Panini Phoenix Contours #CONBTJ Brian Thomas Jr. Wave | $47.25 | 1.89x |
| 2008 Score Select #255 James Harrison | $40.00 | 1.60x |
 1955 Topps All-Amer. #67 Frankie Albert | $47.25 | 1.89x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic #379 Kamren Kinchens Purple | $30.00 | 1.20x |
 2025 Panini Instant Nfl Draft Night #NFLDN2 Travis Hunter | $30.00 | 1.20x |
 2020 Panini Mosaic #271 Jalen Reagor Gold Wave | $42.00 | 1.68x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #347 Jayden Daniels Lazer Prizm | $45.00 | 1.80x |
 2024 Panini Prizm 25 Caleb Williams Fireworks Green Prizm | $43.00 | 1.72x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic #209 Bo Nix Holo | $49.00 | 1.96x |
 1984 Topps #238 Tony Dorsett | $42.00 | 1.68x |
 2024 Panini Rookies & Stars Draft Class #DCJMY JJ Mccarthy Purple | $48.78 | 1.95x |
 2023 Panini Select #502 Jayden Daniels | $240 | 9.60x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #380 Will Mcdonald IV No Huddle Pink | $43.00 | 1.72x |
 1978 Topps #78 Lynn Dickey | $89.00 | 3.56x |
 1990 Pro Set Andre Rison Ludwell Denny Message | $63.00 | 2.52x |
 2022 Panini Contenders Optic X's & O's #XO49 Micah Parsons Gold | $30.95 | 1.24x |
 2023 Panini Mosaic Introductions #I1 Bryce Young Silver | $40.00 | 1.60x |
 1979 Topps #210 Art Shell | $30.00 | 1.20x |
 2023 Panini Zenith Contenders Optic Rookie Ticket Rps Preview Autographs #107 Roschon Johnson Variation | $42.00 | 1.68x |
 2022 Panini Select Draft Picks #45 Joe Burrow Blue | $47.00 | 1.88x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic #274 Michael Penix Jr. Reactive Blue | $30.00 | 1.20x |
 2024 Panini Donruss #303 JJ Mccarthy Press Proof Purple | $120 | 4.80x |
 1976 Topps #220 Jack Lambert | $42.00 | 1.68x |
 2025 Panini Prizm #301 Travis Hunter Hyper Prizm | $44.00 | 1.76x |
| 2024 Panini Donruss Vortex #VORJDA Jayden Daniels Cosmic | $45.00 | 1.80x |
 1995 Fleer Metal Platinum Portraits #8 Barry Sanders Platinum Portraits | $42.00 | 1.68x |
 2024 Donruss 327 Caleb Williams Optic Preview Pink Prizm | $43.00 | 1.72x |
 2025 Panini Prizm #343 Treveyon Henderson Pigskin Prizm | $105 | 4.20x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic #265 AJ Brown Honeycomb | $140 | 5.60x |
 1973 Topps #345 Marv Hubbard | $63.00 | 2.52x |
Showing 50 of 849 sampled — sorted across all of them.