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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
37.8% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 50.0% and 199.2% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do. Only 37 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $250 | not advertised | 5.3%n=2 |
| $250–500 | $250–$500 | 56.4% | 57.9% n=22 |
| $500–1,500 | $500–$1,500 | 42.1% | 26.3% n=10 |
| $1,500–5,000 | $1,500–$5,000 | 1.4% | 10.5% n=4 |
| $5,000–8,000 | $5,000–$8,000 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #13 Drake Maye | $1,649 | 3.30x |
 2017 Panini Phoenix #195 George Kittle Red | $620 | 1.24x |
 2021 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT22 Alvin Kamara | $600 | 1.20x |
 1997 Topps Chrome #45 Steve Young Refractor | $1,050 | 2.10x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown #9 Ceedee Lamb | $605 | 1.21x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Rookie Kings #6 Bo Nix | $405 | 0.81x |
 2018 Panini Prizm #201 Baker Mayfield Silver Prizm | $175 | 0.35x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic in Focus Signatures #IFBIG Bucky Irving Black Gold Choice | $395 | 0.79x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies #5 Jaxson Dart | $325 | 0.65x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #311 Bryce Young Silver Prizm | $190 | 0.38x |
 2022 Panini Certified #211 Garrett Wilson Signature Jersey | $250 | 0.50x |
 2021 Panini Donruss #251 Trevor Lawrence Press Proof Gold | $335 | 0.67x |
 2024 Panini Select Color Wheel #4 Drake Maye | $800 | 1.60x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Downtown! #15 Rome Odunze | $375 | 0.75x |
 2025 Panini Prizm #332 Jaxson Dart Pink Prizm | $500 | 1.00x |
| 2024 Panini Mosaic in Focus Signatures #IFBIG Bucky Irving Black Gold Choice | $395 | 0.79x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic #209 Bo Nix Orange | $250 | 0.50x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Downtown! #15 Rome Odunze | $380 | 0.76x |
 1999 Pacific Backyard Football Maria Luna | $250 | 0.50x |
| 2021 Panini Donruss #251 Trevor Lawrence Press Proof Gold | $335 | 0.67x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic #255 Joe Milton III Autograph-Black Gold | $259 | 0.52x |
 2025 Panini Prizm #352 Cam Ward Cherry Blossom Choice | $1,700 | 3.40x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Legends #2 Kurt Warner | $600 | 1.20x |
| 2024 Panini Donruss Optic #255 Joe Milton III Autograph-Black Gold | $259 | 0.52x |
 2017 Panini Certified New Generation Jersey #PMII Patrick Mahomes II Mirror Orange | $360 | 0.72x |
 2022 Panini Prizm #311 Jameson Williams Autograph | $250 | 0.50x |
 2020 Panini Chronicles Prizm Black #PB12 Jerry Jeudy Signature-Black Finite 1/1 | $960 | 1.92x |
 2016 Panini Prizm #298 Derrick Henry Prizm | $450 | 0.90x |
| 2024 Panini Mosaic in Focus Signatures #IFBIG Bucky Irving Black Gold Choice | $395 | 0.79x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns #20 Patrick Mahomes II | $425 | 0.85x |
 2025 Bowman University Chrome Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #FME Fernando Mendoza | $525 | 1.05x |
 2020 Panini Select #357 Ceedee Lamb Die-Cut Tie-Dye Prizm | $385 | 0.77x |
| 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown #9 Ceedee Lamb | $605 | 1.21x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D15 Jaxon Smith-Njigba | $1,600 | 3.20x |
 2025 Panini Prizm Prizmania #6 Joe Burrow | $1,800 | 3.60x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic Stained Glass #SG19 Bo Nix | $325 | 0.65x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #390 Jaxon Smith-Njigba Red Sparkle | $275 | 0.55x |
 2024 Panini Select #469 Patrick Mahomes II Pink Glitter | $650 | 1.30x |
Showing 38 of 38 sampled — sorted across all of them.