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What really comes out of this pack
125 real pulls sampledTypical rip
80.6%
median — half came back above
Average
94.9%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
198.8%
Team Rocket's Petrel
Where the 125 pulls landedcard value vs. the $5.00 it cost
under 25%— · 0
25–50%— · 0
50–90%55.2% · 69
90–110%11.2% · 14
110–200%33.6% · 42
200–500%— · 0
over 500%— · 0
41.6% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 55.6% and 146.6% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
Advertised vs. observedsolid
Running below advertised (-25%)
Over 127 real pulls, the observed mean value is $4.77 versus the advertised EV of $6.39 — a -25.4% difference.
observed · advertised
$4.77 · $6.39
Cost
$5.00
Advertised EV
$6.39
per card, at midpoints
Advertised RTP
127.9%
gross
Return basis
Gross
before cash-out
Advertised odds vs. real pulls
odds · API· 2026-08-06| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| $2–5 | $2.50–$5.00 | 58.5% | 57.5% n=73 |
| $5–15 | $5.00–$15.00 | 41.3% | 42.5% n=54 |
| $15–50 | $15.00–$50.00 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
| $50–80 | $50.00–$80.00 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
Recent pulls from this pack (127 sampled)
| Card | Category | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Gothitelle | Pokémon | $5.11 |
| Magneton | Pokémon | $7.33 |
| Team Rocket's Petrel | Pokémon | $9.94 |
| ピジョットex | Pokémon | $3.18 |
| Torkoal | Pokémon | $6.64 |
| Magma Basin | Pokémon | $2.59 |
| Pawmo | Pokémon | $4.11 |
| Altaria | Pokémon | $6.14 |
| コライドンex | Pokémon | $6.37 |
| Hop's Wooloo | Pokémon | $4.12 |
| Alakazam ex | Pokémon | $7.33 |
| Cynthia & Caitlin | Pokémon | $2.70 |
4.4/ 5
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