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What really comes out of this pack
39 real pulls sampledprovisionalTypical rip
67.0%
median — half came back above
Average
84.7%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
540.4%
Tyranitar
Where the 39 pulls landedcard value vs. the $250 it cost
under 25%23.1% · 9
25–50%17.9% · 7
50–90%30.8% · 12
90–110%5.1% · 2
110–200%17.9% · 7
200–500%2.6% · 1
over 500%2.6% · 1
23.1% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 14.0% and 150.2% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do. Only 39 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
Advertised vs. observedbuilding
Running below advertised (-38%)
Over 39 real pulls, the observed mean value is $212 versus the advertised EV of $340 — a -37.7% difference.
observed · advertised
$212 · $340
Cost
$250
Advertised EV
$340
per card, at midpoints
Advertised RTP
135.9%
gross
Return basis
Gross
before cash-out
Advertised odds vs. real pulls
odds · API· 2026-08-07| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| $125–250 | $125–$250 | 67.8% | 76.9% n=30 |
| $250–750 | $250–$750 | 31.6% | 17.9% n=7 |
| $750–2,500 | $750–$2,500 | 0.5% | 5.1% n=2 |
| $2,500–90,000 | $2,500–$90,000 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
Recent pulls from this pack (39 sampled)
| Card | Category | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Misty's Psyduck | Pokémon | $121 |
| ベルのまごころ | Pokémon | $173 |
| Dewott | Pokémon | $24.94 |
| Terrakion-EX | Pokémon | $291 |
| Mega Venusaur ex | Pokémon | $226 |
| Frogadier | Pokémon | $130 |
| Iron Crown ex | Pokémon | $44.11 |
| Milotic ex | Pokémon | $315 |
| Iron Valiant ex | Pokémon | $120 |
| Tyranitar | Pokémon | $1,351 |
| Mega Gardevoir ex | Pokémon | $368 |
| Flygon | Pokémon | $180 |
4.4/ 5
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