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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
47.6% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 46.0% and 218.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do. Only 63 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $250 | not advertised | 17.5%n=11 |
| $250–500 | $250–$500 | 48.1% | 34.9% n=22 |
| $500–1,500 | $500–$1,500 | 50.9% | 42.9% n=27 |
| $1,500–5,000 | $1,500–$5,000 | 0.9% | 4.8% n=3 |
| $5,000–8,000 | $5,000–$8,000 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2018 Panini Prizm #205 Josh Allen Hyper Prizm | $720 | 1.44x |
 2025 Panini Prizm #352 Cam Ward Cherry Blossom Choice | $1,700 | 3.40x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #252 Dylan Harper X-Fractor | $750 | 1.50x |
 2024 Topps Chrome #202 Caleb Williams Negative Refractor | $725 | 1.45x |
 2017-18 Panini Prizm Signatures Prizms Gold #38 Nikola Jokic | $4,200 | 8.40x |
 2021 Panini Prizm #282 Cade Cunningham Nba 75th Diamond Prizm | $900 | 1.80x |
 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPAED Elly De La Cruz Speckle Refractor | $1,000 | 2.00x |
 2024 Topps 50/50 Shohei Ohtani #91 Shohei Ohtani Chrome-Refractor | $555 | 1.11x |
 2023 Panini Select #169 Nikola Jokic Tiger Prizm | $314 | 0.63x |
| 2024 Topps 50/50 Shohei Ohtani #91 Shohei Ohtani Chrome-Refractor | $555 | 1.11x |
 2018 Panini Select Phenomenon #24 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Silver | $350 | 0.70x |
 2023 Panini Select #121 Victor Wembanyama Die-Cut White Prizm | $650 | 1.30x |
 2024 Bowman Draft #BDC22 Konnor Griffin Chrome-Refractor | $230 | 0.46x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Update Celebracion #3 Mookie Betts Green Refractor | $137 | 0.27x |
 2022 Panini Prizm Fast Break Autographs #FBJSJ John Stockton | $325 | 0.65x |
 2023 Bowman University Chrome #115 Emeka Egbuka Pink Refractor | $110 | 0.22x |
 2022 Topps Pristine #193 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Red Refractor | $100 | 0.20x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #338 Jalen Mcmillan Autograph-Red Shimmer | $160 | 0.32x |
 2021 Panini Prizm #330 Michael Vick White Sparkle | $234 | 0.47x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Autograph Issue Rookies #TAIR-KK Kon Knueppel Purple Refractor | $1,000 | 2.00x |
 2024 Bowman Bowman Spotlights #BS6 Elly De La Cruz Aqua Refractor | $260 | 0.52x |
 1998 Topps East - West #EW7 Dikembe Mutombo / Hakeem Olajuwon Refractor | $200 | 0.40x |
| 2018 Panini Prizm #205 Josh Allen Hyper Prizm | $720 | 1.44x |
 1993 Finest #125 Carlton Fisk Refractor | $280 | 0.56x |
 2019 Panini Prizm #129 LeBron James Purple Wave | $225 | 0.45x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama Silver Prizm | $1,100 | 2.20x |
| 2025 Panini Prizm #352 Cam Ward Cherry Blossom Choice | $1,700 | 3.40x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #252 Dylan Harper Red White and Blue Refractor | $550 | 1.10x |
 2017 Topps Ufc Chrome #23 Demetrious Johnson Blue Wave Refractor | $409 | 0.82x |
 2014 Finest Blue Refractors #97 Tom Brady | $1,200 | 2.40x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #228 Jaylon Tyson Cherry Blossom Choice | $373 | 0.75x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #253 Vj Edgecombe Purple Pulsar | $1,350 | 2.70x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #357 Puka Nacua Red Prizm | $400 | 0.80x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Tecmo #15 Randy White | $399 | 0.80x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #252 Dylan Harper X-Fractor | $750 | 1.50x |
| 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPAED Elly De La Cruz Speckle Refractor | $1,000 | 2.00x |
 2019 Panini Prizm #301 Kyler Murray Silver Prizm | $570 | 1.14x |
 2022 Panini Prizm #252 Terry Bradshaw Autograph-Red Shimmer | $230 | 0.46x |
| 2021 Panini Prizm #282 Cade Cunningham Nba 75th Diamond Prizm | $900 | 1.80x |
 2019 Panini Select #214 Lamar Jackson Gold Prizm | $375 | 0.75x |
 2024 Bowman Chrome University #22 Dylan Harper Blue Shimmer | $580 | 1.16x |
 2021 Bowman University Chrome Prospect Autographs #XW Xavier Worthy Gold Lava Refractor | $257 | 0.51x |
 2024 Topps 50/50 Shohei Ohtani #47 Shohei Ohtani Chrome-Refractor | $421 | 0.84x |
 2021 Panini Select #73 Amon-Ra St. Brown Die-Cut Zebra Prizm | $415 | 0.83x |
 2025 Topps Finest #1 Cooper Flagg Oil Spill Refractor | $600 | 1.20x |
 2024 Panini Select Select Certified Rookies #2 Jayden Daniels Gold Prizm | $900 | 1.80x |
| 2024 Panini Select Select Certified Rookies #2 Jayden Daniels Gold Prizm | $900 | 1.80x |
 2024 Bowman Chrome #31 Paul Skenes Refractor | $260 | 0.52x |
 2022 Panini Prizm Sensational Signatures #SSJI Jaden Ivey Choice | $230 | 0.46x |
 2022 Panini Select Starcade #STAR19 Travis Kelce Gold Prizm | $320 | 0.64x |
Showing 50 of 63 sampled — sorted across all of them.