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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
83.2% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 70.8% and 198.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $50.00 | not advertised | 4.5%n=7 |
| $50–100 | $50.00–$100 | 52.1% | 15.9% n=25 |
| $100–300 | $100–$300 | 46.7% | 74.5% n=117 |
| $300–1,000 | $300–$1,000 | 1.1% | 5.1% n=8 |
| $1,000–1,600 | $1,000–$1,600 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2021 Panini Prizm #165 Austin Reaves Silver Prizm | $500 | 5.00x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPAKFO Kale Fountain Blue Reptilian | $120 | 1.20x |
 2024 Panini Spectra X-Vision #XVJJM JJ Mccarthy | $165 | 1.65x |
 2023 Panini Select Signatures #SIGMRY Mark Rypien Die-Cut Gold Prizm | $174 | 1.74x |
 2011 Topps Chrome #211 Patrick Peterson Crystal Atomic Refractor | $160 | 1.60x |
 2024 Topps Home Run Challenge Winners #17 Aaron Judge April-Double Down | $121 | 1.21x |
 1991 Action Packed 24kt Gold #25G Bo Jackson 24k Gold | $250 | 2.50x |
 2023 Panini Obsidian #10 Shaquille O'Neal Electric Etch Blue Flood Fotl | $308 | 3.08x |
 2018 Panini Prizm Rookie Autographs #DJM Dj Moore Red Wave | $150 | 1.50x |
 1996 Skybox Premium Golden Touch #7 Karl Malone | $165 | 1.65x |
 2023 Panini Spectra #152 Hendon Hooker Neon Blue Die-Cut | $120 | 1.20x |
 2021 Panini Mosaic #305V Devonta Smith Variation-No Huddle Silver | $190 | 1.90x |
 2024 Topps Now Olympic Games #22 Steph Curry | $120 | 1.20x |
 1964 Philadelphia #72 Willie Davis | $150 | 1.50x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #351 Derius Davis Autograph-Gold Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects #BCP79 Kevin Mcgonigle | $150 | 1.50x |
 1999 Topps Season Opener #53 Zach Thomas Season Opener | $160 | 1.60x |
 2023 Panini Mosaic Micro Mosaic #MM9 Zay Flowers | $170 | 1.70x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #385 Rome Odunze Autograph-Red Wave | $120 | 1.20x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown #9 Ceedee Lamb | $410 | 4.10x |
 2022 Bowman University Chrome Prospects #42 Cade Klubnik Fuchsia Mini Diamond Refractor | $190 | 1.90x |
 2022 Panini Absolute #108 Jameson Williams Signature-Orange Mosaic | $190 | 1.90x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #369 Malachi Corley Autograph-Camo | $150 | 1.50x |
 2021 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT12 Troy Polamalu | $870 | 8.70x |
 2018 Panini Chronicles Status #1 Shohei Ohtani | $150 | 1.50x |
 2024 Topps Chrome Update Chrome Rookie Autographs #RAJH Jackson Holliday Aqua / Blue Lava Lamp | $245 | 2.45x |
 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Sapphire Edition #BDC22 Gunnar Henderson | $150 | 1.50x |
 2024 Panini Donruss #303 JJ Mccarthy Press Proof Purple | $120 | 1.20x |
 2024 Panini Select #501 Cam Ward | $350 | 3.50x |
 2022 Panini Contenders #118 George Pickens Variation-Autograph-Playoff Ticket | $130 | 1.30x |
 2023 Panini Clearly Donruss #52 Anthony Richardson Autograph-Holo Rr Logo | $120 | 1.20x |
 2016 Panini Prizm #208 Jared Goff Red / White / Blue Disco Prizm | $155 | 1.55x |
 2021 Panini Select #243 Trevor Lawrence White Prizm | $150 | 1.50x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #347 Jayden Daniels Silver Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
 2002 Pacific Exclusive Maximum Overdrive #21 Tom Brady | $230 | 2.30x |
 1995 Collector's Edge Instant Replay #12 Barry Sanders Prism | $170 | 1.70x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Fanatical #FAN-24 Kon Knueppel | $120 | 1.20x |
 2023 Bowman University Best Bowman Masterpieces #BM9 Blake Corum Orange | $124 | 1.24x |
| 2023 Panini Mosaic Micro Mosaic #MM9 Zay Flowers | $170 | 1.70x |
 2024 Panini Rookies & Stars Crusade #CDME Drake Maye | $120 | 1.20x |
 2023 Panini Clearly Donruss Clearly My House #13 Bryce Young Green | $135 | 1.35x |
 2014 Panini Prestige First Impressions Autographs #FIDC Derek Carr | $150 | 1.50x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #367 Luke Mccaffrey Red Sparkle | $120 | 1.20x |
 2022 Panini National Treasures #195 Bailey Zappe Patch Autograph-Purple | $120 | 1.20x |
 2025 Bowman Draft Mega Box Chrome Prospects #1 Eli Willits | $155 | 1.55x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #367 Luke Mccaffrey Red Sparkle | $120 | 1.20x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #378 Jalin Hyatt Red Prizm | $120 | 1.20x |
| 2018 Panini Prizm Rookie Autographs #DJM Dj Moore Red Wave | $150 | 1.50x |
 2023 Topps Composite #89 Lawrence Taylor Purple and Yellow Static | $150 | 1.50x |
 2021 Bowman Sterling Sterling Recollections #SRAJS Juan Soto Autograph | $244 | 2.44x |
Showing 50 of 157 sampled — sorted across all of them.