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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
42.9% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 32.8% and 181.4% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do. Only 35 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $500 | not advertised | 25.7%n=9 |
| $500–1,000 | $500–$1,000 | 75.4% | 31.4% n=11 |
| $1,000–3,000 | $1,000–$3,000 | 24.1% | 42.9% n=15 |
| $3,000–10,000 | $3,000–$10,000 | 0.1% | 0.0% n=0 |
| $10,000–16,000 | $10,000–$16,000 | 0.4% | 0.0% n=0 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2014 Panini Prizm #36 Tom Brady Nfl Shield Prizm | $2,300 | 2.30x |
 2024 Panini Clearly Donruss #51 Caleb Williams Gold | $1,785 | 1.78x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Instinct #INS-12 Dylan Harper Purple Geometric | $1,150 | 1.15x |
 2025 Panini Prizm Rookie Patch Autographs Prizms Gold #22 Ashton Jeanty | $1,700 | 1.70x |
 2021 Topps Through the Years #17 Shohei Ohtani | $1,538 | 1.54x |
 2018 Topps Chrome #150 Shohei Ohtani | $1,934 | 1.93x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPAKG Konnor Griffin | $225 | 0.23x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #28 Josh Allen Blue Shimmer | $260 | 0.26x |
| 2024 Panini Clearly Donruss #51 Caleb Williams Gold | $1,785 | 1.78x |
 2024 Panini Absolute Explosive #EXJBW Joe Burrow | $370 | 0.37x |
 2013 Panini Hoops Signatures #172 Giannis Antetokounmpo | $620 | 0.62x |
 1981 Topps #216 Joe Montana | $589 | 0.59x |
 2020 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT11 George Kittle | $825 | 0.82x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Anime Nba #NBA-A24 Kon Knueppel | $850 | 0.85x |
 2017 Panini Prizm #269 Patrick Mahomes II Prizm | $1,830 | 1.83x |
 2024 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Bowman Gpk #3 Jackson Holliday Hovering Holliday Orange Refractor | $500 | 0.50x |
 2026 Topps Now #FMEN Fernando Mendoza | $375 | 0.38x |
 2017 Panini Phoenix #195 George Kittle Red | $620 | 0.62x |
 1997 Stadium Club Triumvirate #T15C Shaquille O'Neal Luminescent | $1,450 | 1.45x |
 2025 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #25 Brock Purdy | $1,225 | 1.23x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Kaiju #9 Travis Hunter | $1,824 | 1.82x |
 2019 Panini Donruss Optic #151 Talen Horton-Tucker Autograph-Purple | $375 | 0.38x |
 2025 Topps Hardwood Stars #HS-12 Dylan Harper | $1,275 | 1.27x |
 2017 Panini Prizm #269 Patrick Mahomes II Prizm | $900 | 0.90x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Autographs #JAL Josh Allen Gold Refractor | $1,800 | 1.80x |
 2017 Panini Crown Royale Roundball Royalty Die-Cut #4 Shaquille O'Neal Red | $275 | 0.28x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic #229 Drake Maye Holo | $395 | 0.40x |
 1995 Collector's Choice International German II #114 Michael Jordan | $400 | 0.40x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Ultra Violet #UV-12 Dylan Harper | $999 | 1.00x |
 2024 Panini Mosaic Elevate #11 Victor Wembanyama Orange Fluorescent | $850 | 0.85x |
 2022 Panini Contenders Optic #139 Jaden Ivey Variation-Autograph-Blue | $300 | 0.30x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown Horizontal #17 Quinshon Judkins | $750 | 0.75x |
 2006 Sp Authentic Authentic Fabric #AF-MJ Michael Jordan | $1,300 | 1.30x |
 2024 Bowman Chrome Bowman Garbage Pail Kids #BGP21 Yoshinobu Yamamoto Dodging Yamamoto | $1,300 | 1.30x |
 2024 Bowman Chrome University #22 Dylan Harper Blue Shimmer | $580 | 0.58x |
Showing 35 of 35 sampled — sorted across all of them.