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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
57.1% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 40.3% and 140.0%. Only 42 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $1,500 | not advertised | 14.3%n=6 |
| $1,500–3,000 | $1,500–$3,000 | 52.9% | 35.7% n=15 |
| $3,000–9,000 | $3,000–$9,000 | 46.6% | 45.2% n=19 |
| $9,000–30,000 | $9,000–$30,000 | 0.4% | 4.8% n=2 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2017-18 Panini Prizm Signatures Prizms Gold #38 Nikola Jokic | $4,200 | 1.40x |
 2017 Panini Prizm Stained Glass #3 Tom Brady | $4,000 | 1.33x |
 2025 Donruss Horizontal Downtown! Gold #3 Jalen Hurts | $3,675 | 1.23x |
 2022 Panini One and One Downtown #3 Luka Doncic | $3,500 | 1.17x |
 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #21 Caleb Williams | $4,200 | 1.40x |
 2000 Leaf Limited #378 Tom Brady | $10,095 | 3.37x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Crystalized Nba #CNB-7 Stephen Curry | $1,525 | 0.51x |
 2025 Select Prizm Gold #407 Patrick Mahomes II | $1,050 | 0.35x |
 2025 Absolute Kaboom Super Bowl Horizontal Gold #8 Roger Staubach | $3,850 | 1.28x |
 2014 Panini Spectra Cornerstones Prizm #15 Tom Brady Gold | $2,400 | 0.80x |
 2022 Panini Donruss Downtown #DTJB Joe Burrow | $1,300 | 0.43x |
| 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #21 Caleb Williams | $3,600 | 1.20x |
 2000 Metal #267 Tom Brady | $1,875 | 0.63x |
 2015 Finest 1995 Finest Refractor #TB Tom Brady Gold Refractor | $1,500 | 0.50x |
 2024 Topps Chrome Rookie Autographs Variations #RACWI Caleb Williams Gold Geometric | $3,500 | 1.17x |
 2003 Bowman Rookies & Stars #123 LeBron James Gold | $3,600 | 1.20x |
 2025 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #18 Julius Peppers Purple | $4,200 | 1.40x |
 2025 Topps Finest Headliners #H-3 Giannis Antetokounmpo | $1,500 | 0.50x |
| 2025 Absolute Kaboom Super Bowl Horizontal Gold #8 Roger Staubach | $3,850 | 1.28x |
 2023 Upper Deck Metal Universe Platinum Portraits #ACH3 LeBron James | $10,000 | 3.33x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Duos #6 Ben Roethlisberger / Bill Cowher | $1,715 | 0.57x |
 2003 Topps Chrome #111 LeBron James | $4,860 | 1.62x |
| 2025 Bowman Chrome Crystalized Nba #CNB-7 Stephen Curry | $1,525 | 0.51x |
| 2003 Bowman Rookies & Stars #123 LeBron James Gold | $3,600 | 1.20x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama Silver Prizm | $1,138 | 0.38x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Instinct #INS-12 Dylan Harper Purple Geometric | $1,150 | 0.38x |
 2017 Panini Donruss Optic #177 Patrick Mahomes II | $1,620 | 0.54x |
 2020 Panini Donruss Optic #151 Joe Burrow Autograph-Holo | $4,500 | 1.50x |
 2025 Topps Cosmic Chrome Cosmic Chrome Autographs #CF Cooper Flagg | $1,600 | 0.53x |
| 2024 Topps Chrome Rookie Autographs Variations #RACWI Caleb Williams Gold Geometric | $3,500 | 1.17x |
| 2017 Panini Donruss Optic #177 Patrick Mahomes II | $1,620 | 0.54x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Downtown Horizontal #2 Ja'Marr Chase | $1,700 | 0.57x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D1 Bryce Young | $950 | 0.32x |
 2000 Bowman #236 Tom Brady | $4,100 | 1.37x |
 2023 Panini Prizm #136 Victor Wembanyama Silver Prizm | $3,050 | 1.02x |
 1995 Skybox E-XL Natural Born Thrillers #1 Michael Jordan | $3,000 | 1.00x |
| 2025 Absolute Kaboom Super Bowl Horizontal Gold #8 Roger Staubach | $3,850 | 1.28x |
 1995 Skybox E-XL Natural Born Thrillers #1 Michael Jordan | $3,000 | 1.00x |
 2024 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #8 Drake Maye | $3,275 | 1.09x |
 2025 Topps Cosmic Chrome Cosmic Chrome Autographs #CF Cooper Flagg | $1,600 | 0.53x |
 2022 Panini One and One Downtown #3 Luka Doncic | $3,000 | 1.00x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Spotlights Nba #BNB-8 Anthony Edwards | $1,200 | 0.40x |
Showing 42 of 42 sampled — sorted across all of them.