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Tilt Rips Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
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Cash rip packs · PSA/CGC, published risk modes, claims ~100% EV
25.6% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 34.8% and 140.0%. Only 86 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $250 | not advertised | 30.2%n=26 |
| $250–500 | $250–$500 | 69.4% | 46.5% n=40 |
| $500–1,500 | $500–$1,500 | 30.1% | 22.1% n=19 |
| $1,500–5,000 | $1,500–$5,000 | 0.3% | 1.2% n=1 |
| $5,000–8,000 | $5,000–$8,000 | 0.2% | 0.0% n=0 |
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| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2018 Topps Chrome Freshman Flash #FF-1 Shohei Ohtani | $650 | 1.30x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams Silver Prizm | $1,625 | 3.25x |
| 2018 Topps Chrome Freshman Flash #FF-1 Shohei Ohtani | $650 | 1.30x |
 2000 Sp Authentic Sign of the Times #JN Joe Namath | $200 | 0.40x |
 2021 Upper Deck Space Jam a New Legacy Tune / Goon Squad Rookies #RC6 LeBron James Mega Gold | $200 | 0.40x |
 2021 Panini Mosaic #201 Tom Brady Blue Fluorescent | $425 | 0.85x |
 2024 Leaf Metal Draft Bound Autographs #DBCW2 Cameron Ward Silver Pulsar | $170 | 0.34x |
 2008 Topps #23 LeBron James | $100 | 0.20x |
 2024 Panini Select #220 Malik Nabers Dragon Scale Prizm | $170 | 0.34x |
 2021 Panini Donruss Downtown #DT-18 Peyton Manning | $810 | 1.62x |
 2021 Panini Mosaic Autographs Fast Break #FBAJJO Jalen Johnson | $100 | 0.20x |
 2022 Panini Obsidian Rookie Eruption Autographs #REIPJ Jaden Ivey Electric Etch Purple | $250 | 0.50x |
 2019 Topps Chrome Rookie Autographs #RA-PA Peter Alonso | $200 | 0.40x |
 2015 Panini Prizm #125 LeBron James Red / White / Blue Prizm | $300 | 0.60x |
 2025 Donruss Rookies & Highlights the Rookies Uptowns #3 Cam Ward | $740 | 1.48x |
 2026 Topps Now #FMEN Fernando Mendoza | $375 | 0.75x |
 2024 Panini Prizm #367 Luke Mccaffrey Orange Ice | $173 | 0.35x |
 1991 Action Packed 24kt Gold #25G Bo Jackson 24k Gold | $250 | 0.50x |
 2024 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Bowman Gpk #3 Jackson Holliday Hovering Holliday Orange Refractor | $500 | 1.00x |
 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects #BCP32 Spencer Jones Orange Refractor | $235 | 0.47x |
 2025 Topps the Daily Dribble #DD-31 Cooper Flagg | $190 | 0.38x |
 2022 Panini Select Rookie Signatures #RSBNM Bennedict Mathurin | $275 | 0.55x |
 2022 Panini Donruss #209 Jeremy Sochan Rated Rookie Signature-Gold Choice | $250 | 0.50x |
 2009 Panini #372 Stephen Curry | $570 | 1.14x |
 1995 Skybox Premium #278 Michael Jordan | $749 | 1.50x |
 2021 Panini Donruss Unleashed #UNL16 Ken Griffey Jr. Silver | $200 | 0.40x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic Slammy! #22 Amen Thompson | $700 | 1.40x |
 2022 Panini Crown Royale Kaboom! #14 Jalen Green | $410 | 0.82x |
 2024 Panini Obsidian #173 Brock Purdy Molten Fotl | $275 | 0.55x |
 2025 Panini Mosaic Stained Glass #5 Joe Burrow | $720 | 1.44x |
 2025 Topps Chrome #127 LeBron James Prism Refractor | $350 | 0.70x |
 2018 Panini Donruss Optic #167 Lamar Jackson Red / Yellow | $450 | 0.90x |
 2024 Bowman Draft #BDC8 Jac Caglianone Chrome-Prospector Special Die-Cut Variation | $260 | 0.52x |
 2025 Panini Donruss Optic Sunday Kings #23 Steve Young Black Pandora | $700 | 1.40x |
 2023 Panini Donruss Optic International Downtown #3 Derek Carr | $325 | 0.65x |
 2020 Panini Select Rookie Signatures #JHU Jalen Hurts Light Blue | $660 | 1.32x |
 2025 Topps Finest Headliners #HL14 Elly De La Cruz | $550 | 1.10x |
 2025 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #19 Joe Greene | $450 | 0.90x |
 2024 Bowman Sterling Rookies Autographs #RAJH Jackson Holliday Refractor | $225 | 0.45x |
 2024 Panini Donruss #258 Jared Mccain Rated Rookie Signature-Holo Gold Laser | $240 | 0.48x |
 2018 Topps #700 Shohei Ohtani | $270 | 0.54x |
 2022 Panini Mosaic Rookie Scripts #RSJVE Jaden Ivey Genesis | $325 | 0.65x |
 2023 Panini Select Rookie Signatures #RSIPNA Puka Nacua Die-Cut Tie-Dye Prizm | $499 | 1.00x |
 2013 Topps Chrome #118 Travis Kelce Camo Refractor | $250 | 0.50x |
 1996 Flair Showcase #31 Kobe Bryant Row 2 | $390 | 0.78x |
 2024-25 Topps Chrome Uefa Club Competitions Chrome Autographs #KE Roy Keane Orange Lava | $290 | 0.58x |
 2025 Bowman Chrome Anime Nba #NBA-A8 Donovan Mitchell | $525 | 1.05x |
 2022 Panini Select #35 Drake London Green Prizm | $350 | 0.70x |
 2025 Topps Chrome Chrome Autographs #TCA-KG Kevin Garnett Purple Geometric | $499 | 1.00x |
 2017 Panini Select '18 Nfl Draft Xrc Prizm Redemption #319 Mark Andrews | $220 | 0.44x |
Showing 50 of 86 sampled — sorted across all of them.