Loading…
Courtyard Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
Cash card rip packs · vaulted, graded, ship or sell back
Loading…
Cash card rip packs · vaulted, graded, ship or sell back
30.2% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 64.0% and 179.5% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do. Only 96 pulls so far, so treat these as provisional — they'll firm up as the feed accrues.
Only 2 days of pulls so far — the trend line appears once there are three.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| base · $300–400 | $300–$400 | 43.9% | 40.6% n=39 |
| common · $400–500 | $400–$500 | 34.0% | 30.2% n=29 |
| uncommon · $500–1,000 | $500–$1,000 | 20.0% | 24.0% n=23 |
| rare · $1,000–2,000 | $1,000–$2,000 | 2.0% | 4.2% n=4 |
| chase · $2,000–8,000 | $2,000–$8,000 | 0.1% | 1.0% n=1 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 Tissot Seastar 1000 45.5mm | $675 | 1.35x |
 Seiko Prospex Alpinist Black Dial | $995 | 1.99x |
 D1 Milano Blue Pulse Chronograph | $465 | 0.93x |
 Seiko Presage Classic Series Beige Dial | $1,050 | 2.10x |
 Issey Miyake W Chronograph | $400 | 0.80x |
 Victorinox Swiss Army Alliance Chrono Watch | $450 | 0.90x |
 D1 Milano Shadow | $395 | 0.79x |
 Citizen Zenshin Chrono Silver-Tone Dial | $540 | 1.08x |
 Citizen Attesa Grey Dial Super Titanium Bracelet | $2,225 | 4.45x |
 Seiko 5 Sports SKX Automatic Yellow Dial | $400 | 0.80x |
 Seiko Presage Cocktail Time Brown Dial | $475 | 0.95x |
 TAG Heuer Formula 1 Date 41mm Black Dial | $1,850 | 3.70x |
 Tissot PRX Auto 42mm Chronograph Blue Dial | $1,595 | 3.19x |
 G-Shock Casio G-Steel Black Dial | $300 | 0.60x |
 Citizen Promaster Navihawk Red Dial | $476 | 0.95x |
 Orient Bambino Version 9 41.5mm Red Dial | $385 | 0.77x |
 Orient Kamasu 41.8mm Red Dial | $375 | 0.75x |
 Tissot Seastar 2000 Professional Powermatic 80 | $1,275 | 2.55x |
 Seiko Watch 5 Sports 32mm Blue Dial | $415 | 0.83x |
 Tissot Ballade 40mm Green Dial | $400 | 0.80x |
 Shinola Runwell Chronograph Blue Dial | $995 | 1.99x |
 Timex Men's MK1 Steel Chronograph 42mm Olive Leather Strap | $300 | 0.60x |
 Orient Bambino Version 9 41.5mm White Dial | $410 | 0.82x |
 Citizen Promaster Navihawk Atomic Timekeeping | $825 | 1.65x |
 Filson Chronograph Watch 22mm Wide Strap | $945 | 1.89x |
 Seiko Automatic 5 Sports 42.5mm Black Dial | $375 | 0.75x |
 D1 Milano Re_Rose Ultra Thin | $395 | 0.79x |
 D1 Milano Light Illusion Ultra Thin | $395 | 0.79x |
 Citizen Blue Angels Promaster Skyhawk Atomic Timekeeping | $795 | 1.59x |
 Tissot PRX 40mm Red Dial | $450 | 0.90x |
 Tissot Chrono XL Classic Black Dial | $495 | 0.99x |
 Citizen Tsuyosa White Dial Stainless Steel Bracelet | $395 | 0.79x |
 Seiko Essentials Black Dial Quartz Chronograph | $350 | 0.70x |
 Seiko Essentials Collection Green Dial | $315 | 0.63x |
 Tissot Ballade 40mm Brown Dial | $450 | 0.90x |
 Seiko Rotocall Red | $550 | 1.10x |
 G-Shock Casio Full Metal Rose Gold | $735 | 1.47x |
 Shinola The Runwell 47mm | $750 | 1.50x |
 Citizen Promaster Navihawk Salmon Dial | $476 | 0.95x |
 OMEGA X SWATCH Mission To Neptune | $350 | 0.70x |
 Shinola The Runwell 47mm Cream Dial | $750 | 1.50x |
 Orient Bambino Version 7 38.4mm White Dial | $330 | 0.66x |
 Timex Indiglo Sport Collection Blue Strap Watch | $330 | 0.66x |
 Orient Bambino 38.4mm Champagne Dial | $300 | 0.60x |
 D1 Milano Anthracite Ultra Thin | $395 | 0.79x |
 Visitor Calligraph Duneshore 44mm Beach Dial | $470 | 0.94x |
 Shinola Canfield Watch 43mm Silver Dial | $800 | 1.60x |
 Citizen Tsuki-yomi A-T Grey Dial | $895 | 1.79x |
 Shinola Omaha Men's Brown Band Watch | $750 | 1.50x |
 Citizen Tsuyosa Orange Dial | $395 | 0.79x |
Showing 50 of 96 sampled — sorted across all of them.