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USD · 84.6% buyback✓ Real odds✓ Live feed✓ Categories✓ EV computable
What really comes out of this pack
246 real pulls sampledTypical rip
95.8%
median — half came back above
Average
114.3%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
396.0%
Kirill Kaprizov
Where the 246 pulls landedcard value vs. the $25.00 it cost
under 25%— · 0
25–50%— · 0
50–90%40.2% · 99
90–110%22.0% · 54
110–200%29.3% · 72
200–500%8.5% · 21
over 500%— · 0
47.2% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 70.4% and 177.2% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
Advertised vs. observedsolid
The odds check out
Over 246 real pulls, the observed mean value is $28.57 versus the advertised EV of $27.41 — a +4.3% difference.
observed · advertised
$28.57 · $27.41
Cost
$25.00
Advertised EV
$27.41
per card, at midpoints
Advertised RTP
109.6%
gross
Net RTP
92.7%
after buyback
Advertised odds vs. real pulls
odds · API· 2026-08-07| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| base · $18–21 | $17.60–$21.00 | 41.7% | 30.1% n=74 |
| common · $21–25 | $21.00–$25.00 | 32.0% | 22.8% n=56 |
| uncommon · $25–50 | $25.00–$50.00 | 22.0% | 38.6% n=95 |
| rare · $50–100 | $50.00–$100 | 4.0% | 8.5% n=21 |
| chase · $100–400 | $100–$400 | 0.3% | 0.0% n=0 |
Recent pulls from this pack (246 sampled)
| Card | Category | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Gary Roberts · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $21.60 |
| Mathew Barzal · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $17.60 |
| Connor McDavid · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $82.80 |
| Dylan Sikura · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $25.00 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $26.00 |
| Wayne Gretzky · PSA 8 NM-MT | Hockey | $24.70 |
| Dylan Guenther · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $34.00 |
| Brad Marchand · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $17.60 |
| Gavin McKenna/2483* · BGS 10 PRISTINE | Hockey | $91.20 |
| Ilya Sorokin · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $17.60 |
| Quinn Hughes · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $25.00 |
| Sidney Crosby · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Hockey | $46.60 |
4.6/ 5
Courtyard
Affiliate link · 18+
Courtyard highlights
- Free vaulting, insured at full market value
- Cash payouts — take the money or ship the card
- 76 packs: Pokémon, One Piece, Magic, sports, comics, watches
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