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What really comes out of this pack
313 real pulls sampledTypical rip
56.3%
median — half came back above
Average
85.6%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
634.9%
Starmie
Where the 313 pulls landedcard value vs. the $199 it cost
under 25%3.5% · 11
25–50%31.0% · 97
50–90%47.0% · 147
90–110%1.0% · 3
110–200%7.7% · 24
200–500%9.3% · 29
over 500%0.6% · 2
17.9% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 28.8% and 195.2% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
Advertised vs. observedsolid
Running below advertised (-27%)
Over 313 real pulls, the observed mean value is $170 versus the advertised EV of $233 — a -26.8% difference.
observed · advertised
$170 · $233
Cost
$199
Advertised EV
$233
per card, at midpoints
Advertised RTP
117.1%
gross
Net RTP
104.9%
after buyback
Advertised odds vs. real pulls
odds · API· 2026-08-04| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| base · $100–150 | $100–$150 | 63.9% | 79.2% n=248 |
| common · $150–199 | $150–$199 | 7.0% | 2.9% n=9 |
| uncommon · $199–398 | $199–$398 | 22.0% | 8.0% n=25 |
| rare · $398–796 | $398–$796 | 6.0% | 8.6% n=27 |
| chase · $796–6,368 | $796–$6,368 | 1.1% | 1.3% n=4 |
Recent pulls from this pack (313 sampled)
| Card | Category | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Articuno · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Pokémon | $74.90 |
| Feraligatr · PSA 9 MINT | Pokémon | $1,047 |
| Chansey · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Pokémon | $102 |
| Muk & Alolan Muk GX · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Pokémon | $60.70 |
| Team Rocket's Zapdos · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Pokémon | $108 |
| Serperior EX · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Pokémon | $134 |
| Ceruledge · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Pokémon | $62.80 |
| Blastoise EX · PSA 8 NM-MT | Pokémon | $128 |
| Charizard Vstar · PSA 9 MINT | Pokémon | $123 |
| Pikachu · PSA 6 EX-MT | Pokémon | $546 |
| Cynthia's Garchomp EX · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Pokémon | $505 |
| Regigigas · PSA 9 MINT | Pokémon | $78.10 |
4.6/ 5
Courtyard
Affiliate link · 18+
Courtyard highlights
- Cash payouts — cash out or ship the card
- ~85% instant buyback
- Publishes real pullable-card odds
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