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Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) · Pokémon

Courtyard · $999 · 1 card per pack

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What really comes out of this pack

163 real pulls sampled
Typical rip
81.5%
median — half came back above
Average
115.8%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
697.7%
Thundurus
Where the 163 pulls landedcard value vs. the $999 it cost
under 25%— · 0
25–50%— · 0
50–90%58.3% · 95
90–110%12.9% · 21
110–200%16.6% · 27
200–500%11.0% · 18
over 500%1.2% · 2

30.7% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 55.2% and 220.1% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.

Top pulls

Pulls
13
Total in
$12,987
Total back
$11,389
Return
87.7%
typical 71.6%
  • 1Charizard EXPSA 10 GEM MINT1.48x$1,476
  • 2Charizard EXPSA 10 GEM MINT1.45x$1,451
  • 3MagikarpCGC 10 PRISTINE1.41x$1,406
  • 4_____'s ChanseyPSA 10 GEM MINT0.97x$971
  • 5GiratinaPSA 10 GEM MINT0.94x$940
  • 6RaichuPSA 10 GEM MINT0.73x$729
  • 7Mega Lucario EXPSA 10 GEM MINT0.72x$716
  • 8PikachuPSA 10 GEM MINT0.67x$674
Return by day11 days · latest 87.7%
2026-08-10: 89.2% over 8 pulls2026-08-11: 115.2% over 22 pulls2026-08-12: 128.2% over 18 pulls2026-08-13: 151.1% over 10 pulls2026-08-14: 116.3% over 19 pulls2026-08-15: 111.8% over 22 pulls2026-08-16: 100.9% over 8 pulls2026-08-17: 97.0% over 19 pulls2026-08-18: 129.3% over 13 pulls2026-08-19: 152.2% over 11 pulls2026-08-20: 87.7% over 13 pulls
2026-08-10dashed line = break-even2026-08-20

Advertised odds vs. real pulls

odds · API· 2026-08-20
TierValueAdvertisedObserved
base · $500–750$500–$75050.4%
42.3% n=69
common · $750–999$750–$99923.0%
27.0% n=44
uncommon · $999–1,998$999–$1,99821.0%
18.4% n=30
rare · $1,998–3,996$1,998–$3,9965.0%
9.2% n=15
chase · $3,996–31,968$3,996–$31,9680.6%
3.1% n=5

Recent pulls from this pack (163 sampled)

Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.

Card⇅Value⇅Multiple⇅
Flareon EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$6190.62x
MagikarpCGC 10 PRISTINE
$1,4061.41x
Dark JolteonPSA 10 GEM MINT
$6270.63x
PikachuPSA 10 GEM MINT
$6740.67x
Mega Lucario EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$7160.72x
Charizard EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1,4511.45x
_____'s ChanseyPSA 10 GEM MINT
$9710.97x
GiratinaPSA 10 GEM MINT
$9400.94x
HitmonleePSA 10 GEM MINT
$6280.63x
CharizardPSA 10 GEM MINT
$5450.55x
Charizard EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1,4761.48x
DoduoPSA 10 GEM MINT
$6080.61x
RaichuPSA 10 GEM MINT
$7290.73x
Umbreon GXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$7150.72x
Garchomp & Giratina GXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$6930.69x
Umbreon EXPSA 9 MINT
$1,4791.48x
DoduoPSA 10 GEM MINT
$7260.73x
M Charizard EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$2,3762.38x
LugiaBGS 8.5 NM-MT+
$5,4425.45x
JolteonPSA 10 GEM MINT
$7480.75x
LillieCGC 10 PRISTINE
$1,0591.06x
Charizard EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1,4761.48x
EspeonPSA 9 MINT
$1,2201.22x
Surfing PikachuPSA 8 NM-MT
$7940.79x
SlowpokePSA 10 GEM MINT
$6470.65x
Alakazam EXPSA 9 MINT
$5410.54x
Victory MedalPSA 10 GEM MINT
$8460.85x
EeveePSA 10 GEM MINT
$6430.64x
ThundurusPSA 10 GEM MINT
$6,9706.98x
Torterra LV.XPSA 9 MINT
$7420.74x
MewtwoPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1,7961.80x
Alakazam EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$8690.87x
Pikachu With Grey Felt HatPSA 9 MINT
$9540.95x
Flying DragonitePSA 9 MINT
$7550.76x
Porygon2CGC 10 GEM MINT
$5000.50x
Pikachu on the BallPSA 10 GEM MINT
$9220.92x
DiglettPSA 10 GEM MINT
$6000.60x
EspeonPSA 9 MINT
$6970.70x
RhyhornCGC 10 GEM MINT
$9330.93x
PikachuPSA 10 GEM MINT
$8580.86x
Dark GengarPSA 8 NM-MT
$5320.53x
Team Rocket's Mewtwo EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$7170.72x
Misty's PsyduckPSA 10 GEM MINT
$7730.77x
Reshiram & Zekrom GXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$7700.77x
Pikachu VPSA 10 GEM MINT
$7380.74x
Blastoise & Piplup GXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$8400.84x
Super Energy RemovalPSA 9 MINT
$9510.95x
Mega Gengar EXPSA 9 MINT
$1,0341.04x
Shibuya's PikachuPSA 10 GEM MINT
$8910.89x
LugiaPSA 6 EX-MT
$9480.95x

Showing 50 of 163 sampled — sorted across all of them.

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