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Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) · Pokémon

Courtyard · $249 · 1 card per pack

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What really comes out of this pack

289 real pulls sampled
Typical rip
60.6%
median — half came back above
Average
94.0%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
801.6%
Pikachu
Where the 289 pulls landedcard value vs. the $249 it cost
under 25%— · 0
25–50%0.3% · 1
50–90%72.3% · 209
90–110%4.2% · 12
110–200%16.6% · 48
200–500%5.9% · 17
over 500%0.7% · 2

24.6% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 51.4% and 181.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.

Top pulls

Pulls
64
Total in
$15,936
Total back
$17,689
Return
111.0%
typical 79.9%
  • 1Charizard EXPSA 10 GEM MINT5.93x$1,476
  • 2Mew EXPSA 10 GEM MINT3.35x$834
  • 3Thundurus EXPSA 9 MINT3.31x$823
  • 4PikachuPSA 6 EX-MT2.80x$698
  • 5Lugia VPSA 9 MINT2.08x$519
  • 6Reshiram & Zekrom GXCGC 10 PRISTINE1.95x$486
  • 7SmearglePSA 10 GEM MINT1.89x$470
  • 8Registeel EXPSA 9 MINT1.82x$452
Return by day6 days · latest 111.0%
2026-07-29: 70.2% over 7 pulls2026-08-15: 341.0% over 1 pulls2026-08-17: 75.4% over 48 pulls2026-08-18: 88.1% over 80 pulls2026-08-19: 96.2% over 89 pulls2026-08-20: 111.0% over 64 pulls
2026-07-29dashed line = break-even2026-08-20

Advertised odds vs. real pulls

odds · API· 2026-08-20
TierValueAdvertisedObserved
Worth less than the cheapest tierunder $125not advertised0.3%n=1
base · $125–185$125–$18557.3%
66.6% n=193
common · $185–249$185–$24916.0%
8.6% n=25
uncommon · $249–498$249–$49821.0%
18.6% n=54
rare · $498–996$498–$9965.0%
5.2% n=15
chase · $996–7,968$996–$7,9680.7%
0.7% n=2

Recent pulls from this pack (290 sampled)

Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.

Card⇅Value⇅Multiple⇅
Dedenne GXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$3301.33x
Ditto VmaxPSA 10 GEM MINT
$137—
Charizard EXPSA 6 EX-MT
$1990.80x
Sylveon EXPSA 8 NM-MT
$2110.85x
Palkia & Dialga LegendPSA 7 NM
$1800.72x
Team Rocket's Crobat EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1410.57x
Mewtwo & Mew GXCGC 10 GEM MINT
$1900.76x
Blastoise & Piplup GXPSA 9 MINT
$2230.90x
PikachuCGC 9 MINT
$1740.70x
Mew EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1820.73x
MukPSA 10 GEM MINT
$4001.61x
Mew VmaxPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1880.75x
Latios GXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$2110.85x
Sylveon VmaxPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1800.72x
Celebi VPSA 10 GEM MINT
$3481.40x
EeveePSA 10 GEM MINT
$1450.58x
SmearglePSA 10 GEM MINT
$4701.89x
Mega Charizard X EXPSA 8 NM-MT
$2801.12x
Palkia & Dialga LegendPSA 8 NM-MT
$1910.77x
YveltalPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1380.55x
Lillie's Clefairy EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$3541.42x
JolteonPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1370.55x
PikachuPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1740.70x
Slowpoke & Psyduck GXPSA 9 MINT
$1730.69x
Rayquaza VMAXCGC 10 GEM MINT
$2450.98x
Eevee EXPSA 8 NM-MT
$1550.62x
PikachuPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1340.54x
SteelixPSA 9 MINT
$2691.08x
Zapdos EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1780.72x
MewPSA 10 GEM MINT
$2130.85x
ChanseyPSA 10 GEM MINT
$2470.99x
Surfing Pikachu VPSA 10 GEM MINT
$2250.90x
Ultra BallPSA 10 GEM MINT
$4001.61x
SwabluPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1900.76x
Snorlax VmaxPSA 10 GEM MINT
$2090.84x
GloomCGC 10 PRISTINE
$1730.69x
Gardevoir GXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1470.59x
Dragapult EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$2180.87x
Tyranitar VPSA 9 MINT
$2521.01x
CharizardPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1380.55x
Registeel EXPSA 9 MINT
$4521.82x
BlastoisePSA 10 GEM MINT
$1490.60x
Rainbow EnergyCGC 10 PRISTINE
$3261.31x
RaichuPSA 10 GEM MINT
$4501.81x
Mew EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$8343.35x
Sylveon VPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1300.52x
Glaceon EXPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1280.51x
Reshiram & Zekrom GXCGC 10 PRISTINE
$4861.95x
Lugia VPSA 9 MINT
$5192.08x
Zacian VPSA 10 GEM MINT
$1330.54x

Showing 50 of 290 sampled — sorted across all of them.

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