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USD · 84.6% buyback✓ Real odds✓ Live feed✓ Categories✓ EV computable
What really comes out of this pack
505 real pulls sampledTypical rip
94.0%
median — half came back above
Average
111.6%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
376.0%
Kylian Mbappe
Where the 505 pulls landedcard value vs. the $25.00 it cost
under 25%— · 0
25–50%— · 0
50–90%42.0% · 212
90–110%16.0% · 81
110–200%35.8% · 181
200–500%6.1% · 31
over 500%— · 0
45.9% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 74.6% and 168.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
Advertised vs. observedsolid
The odds check out
Over 505 real pulls, the observed mean value is $27.90 versus the advertised EV of $26.69 — a +4.5% difference.
observed · advertised
$27.90 · $26.69
Cost
$25.00
Advertised EV
$26.69
per card, at midpoints
Advertised RTP
106.8%
gross
Net RTP
90.3%
after buyback
Advertised odds vs. real pulls
odds · API· 2026-08-07| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| base · $18–22 | $18.00–$22.00 | 53.8% | 38.4% n=194 |
| common · $22–25 | $22.00–$25.00 | 21.0% | 15.6% n=79 |
| uncommon · $25–50 | $25.00–$50.00 | 22.0% | 39.8% n=201 |
| rare · $50–100 | $50.00–$100 | 3.0% | 6.1% n=31 |
| chase · $100–400 | $100–$400 | 0.2% | 0.0% n=0 |
Recent pulls from this pack (505 sampled)
| Card | Category | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Gareth Bale · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Soccer | $28.60 |
| Rodrygo · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Soccer | $29.40 |
| Endrick/6998* · BGS 9.5 GEM MINT | Soccer | $21.20 |
| Jarrod Bowen · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Soccer | $29.00 |
| Jamal Harkass · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Soccer | $30.00 |
| Lamine Yamal · PSA 9 MINT | Soccer | $60.00 |
| Luka Modric · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Soccer | $30.00 |
| Malik Tillman · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Soccer | $31.20 |
| Mateus Fernandes · CGC 10 GEM MINT | Soccer | $34.00 |
| Lennart Karl/7118* · BGS 10 PRISTINE | Soccer | $55.00 |
| Gavi · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Soccer | $29.00 |
| Kylian Mbappe · PSA 9 MINT | Soccer | $31.60 |
4.6/ 5
Courtyard
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Courtyard highlights
- Free vaulting, insured at full market value
- Cash payouts — take the money or ship the card
- 76 packs: Pokémon, One Piece, Magic, sports, comics, watches
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