
What really comes out of this pack
994 real pulls sampledTypical rip
90.0%
median — half came back above
Average
125.1%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
1374.7%
Michael Jordan
Where the 994 pulls landedcard value vs. the $15.00 it cost
under 25%— · 0
25–50%— · 0
50–90%48.0% · 477
90–110%17.0% · 169
110–200%24.8% · 247
200–500%9.6% · 95
over 500%0.6% · 6
37.3% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 68.7% and 200.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
Top pulls
Pulls
62
Total in
$930
Total back
$863
Return
92.8%
typical 80.7%
- 1Jeff BagwellPSA 10 GEM MINT2.79x$41.90
- 2Zion WilliamsonPSA 10 GEM MINT1.93x$29.00
- 3Ronald Acuna Jr.PSA 10 GEM MINT1.85x$27.80
- 4Shaquille O'NealPSA 9 MINT1.83x$27.40
- 5George WolkowPSA 9 MINT1.75x$26.30
- 6Michael Harris IIPSA 10 GEM MINT1.58x$23.70
- 7Caleb WilliamsPSA 9 MINT1.52x$22.80
- 8Sixto SanchezBGS 9.5 GEM MINT1.09x$16.40
Return by day14 days · latest 92.8%
2026-08-07dashed line = break-even2026-08-20
Advertised odds vs. real pulls
odds · API· 2026-08-20| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $10.50 | not advertised | 13.5%n=134 |
| base · $10–13 | $10.50–$13.00 | 48.0% | 31.1% n=309 |
| common · $13–15 | $13.00–$15.00 | 39.0% | 18.3% n=182 |
| uncommon · $15–30 | $15.00–$30.00 | 12.0% | 27.2% n=270 |
| rare · $30–240 | $30.00–$240 | 1.0% | 10.0% n=99 |
Recent pulls from this pack (994 sampled)
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
| $13.90 | 0.93x | |
| $12.70 | 0.85x | |
| $12.10 | 0.81x | |
| $10.00 | 0.67x | |
| $10.10 | 0.67x | |
| $14.40 | 0.96x | |
| $26.30 | 1.75x | |
| $10.00 | 0.67x | |
| $10.30 | 0.69x | |
| $16.40 | 1.09x | |
| $41.90 | 2.79x | |
| $12.50 | 0.83x | |
| $11.30 | 0.75x | |
| $23.70 | 1.58x | |
| $14.30 | 0.95x | |
| $11.50 | 0.77x | |
| $12.10 | 0.81x | |
| $10.90 | 0.73x | |
| $11.60 | 0.77x | |
| $11.20 | 0.75x | |
| $13.20 | 0.88x | |
| $11.50 | 0.77x | |
| $13.70 | 0.91x | |
| $13.10 | 0.87x | |
| $22.80 | 1.52x | |
| $14.50 | 0.97x | |
| $12.80 | 0.85x | |
| $10.40 | 0.69x | |
| $11.20 | 0.75x | |
| $14.30 | 0.95x | |
| $10.60 | 0.71x | |
| $12.60 | 0.84x | |
| $12.30 | 0.82x | |
| $10.30 | 0.69x | |
| $11.90 | 0.79x | |
| $12.00 | 0.80x | |
| $12.00 | 0.80x | |
| $12.20 | 0.81x | |
| $10.00 | 0.67x | |
| $10.50 | 0.70x | |
| $10.50 | 0.70x | |
| $11.50 | 0.77x | |
| $27.80 | 1.85x | |
| $14.00 | 0.93x | |
| $10.50 | 0.70x | |
| $27.40 | 1.83x | |
| $11.70 | 0.78x | |
| $14.50 | 0.97x | |
| $14.10 | 0.94x | |
| $11.60 | 0.77x |
Showing 50 of 994 sampled — sorted across all of them.
4.6/ 5
Courtyard
Affiliate link · 18+
Courtyard highlights
- Free vaulting, insured at full market value
- Cash payouts — take the money or ship the card
- 76 packs: Pokémon, One Piece, Magic, sports, comics, watches
* Affiliate link