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What really comes out of this pack
168 real pulls sampledTypical rip
212.1%
median — half came back above
Average
313.1%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
1397.0%
Spencer Jones
Where the 168 pulls landedcard value vs. the $99.00 it cost
under 25%— · 0
25–50%— · 0
50–90%13.1% · 22
90–110%6.5% · 11
110–200%25.6% · 43
200–500%35.1% · 59
over 500%19.6% · 33
81.5% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 86.6% and 646.3% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
Advertised vs. observedsolid
Running above advertised (+201%)
Over 168 real pulls, the observed mean value is $310 versus the advertised EV of $103 — a +200.6% difference.
observed · advertised
$310 · $103
Cost
$99.00
Advertised EV
$103
per card, at midpoints
Advertised RTP
104.2%
gross
Net RTP
88.1%
after buyback
Advertised odds vs. real pulls
odds · API· 2026-08-04| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| base · $70–85 | $70.00–$85.00 | 49.9% | 8.9% n=15 |
| common · $85–99 | $85.00–$99.00 | 27.0% | 9.5% n=16 |
| uncommon · $99–198 | $99.00–$198 | 20.0% | 26.8% n=45 |
| rare · $198–396 | $198–$396 | 3.0% | 29.2% n=49 |
| chase · $396–1,600 | $396–$1,600 | 0.1% | 25.6% n=43 |
Recent pulls from this pack (168 sampled)
| Card | Category | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Hoyt Wilhelm · PSA 7 NM | Baseball | $87.70 |
| Shohei Ohtani · BGS 10 BLACK LABEL | Baseball | $250 |
| Michael Jordan · PSA 8 NM-MT | Basketball | $395 |
| Don Mattingly · PSA 8 NM-MT | Baseball | $117 |
| Don Mattingly · PSA 7 NM | Baseball | $78.40 |
| Roman Anthony · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Baseball | $1,182 |
| Willie Mays · SGC 7 NM | Baseball | $152 |
| Kobe Bryant · PSA 9 MINT | Basketball | $324 |
| Roger Maris · PSA 7 NM | Baseball | $198 |
| Breece Hall · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Football | $642 |
| Shohei Ohtani · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Baseball | $70.30 |
| Magic Johnson · PSA 5 EX | Basketball | $79.60 |
4.6/ 5
Courtyard
Affiliate link · 18+
Courtyard highlights
- Cash payouts — cash out or ship the card
- ~85% instant buyback
- Publishes real pullable-card odds
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