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$1.70 a pack on MetaDraw, 1 card each, Pokemon
MetaDraw’s own odds and card values put this pack at 89.4% of its price.
The Obsidian Flames costs $1.70 on MetaDraw. Across the 12 pulls we recorded, it returned 271.8% in card value for every dollar in, and the typical pull came back at 0.15× its cost. The middle 80% of pulls landed between 0.06× and 0.48×, and the big hits at the top carry the average, which is what a chase pack is built to do. The biggest so far: Ninetales, worth $52.46.
Each pull’s value against the pack price.
| Value ÷ pack price | Pulls | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Under ¼ | 10 | 83.3% |
| ¼ to ½ | 0 | 0.0% |
| ½ to 0.9 | 1 | 8.3% |
| About even | 0 | 0.0% |
| 1.1 to 2× | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2 to 5× | 0 | 0.0% |
| 5× or more | 1 | 8.3% |
MetaDraw’s chance for each value tier, and how often our pulls landed there. Odds as of 2026-11-09.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Our pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | $0.04–$0.38 | 46.4% | 83.3%10 |
| Uncommon | $0.07–$2.31 | 32.8% | 8.3%1 |
| Rare | $0.13–$0.31 | 4.4% | 0.0%0 |
| Double Rare | $0.75–$6.19 | 8.5% | 0.0%0 |
| Ultra Rare | $0.95–$20.66 | 2.9% | 0.0%0 |
| Illustration Rare | $2.73–$52.46 | 3.6% | 8.3%1 |
| Special Illustration Rare | $5.20–$137 | 1.2% | 0.0%0 |
| Hyper Rare | $46.51–$46.51 | 0.3% | 0.0%0 |
12 counted. Tap a row to open the card.
| Card | Value | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| $0.31 | 0.18x | |
| $0.10 | 0.06x | |
| $0.33 | 0.19x | |
| $0.24 | 0.14x | |
| $0.19 | 0.11x | |
| $0.13 | 0.08x | |
| $0.28 | 0.16x | |
| $52.46 | 30.9x | |
| $0.10 | 0.06x | |
| $0.13 | 0.08x | |
| $0.87 | 0.51x | |
| $0.30 | 0.18x |
The newest 12 of 12 sampled. Sorting a column reorders these 12.