Loading…

$1.85 a pack on MetaDraw, 1 card each, Pokemon
MetaDraw’s own odds and card values put this pack at 89.4% of its price.
The Paldean Fates costs $1.85 on MetaDraw. Across the 11 pulls we recorded, it returned 81.9% in card value for every dollar in, and the typical pull came back at 0.09× its cost. The middle 80% of pulls landed between 0.01× and 2.18×, and the big hits at the top carry the average, which is what a chase pack is built to do. The biggest so far: Baxcalibur, worth $4.34.
Each pull’s value against the pack price.
| Value ÷ pack price | Pulls | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Under ¼ | 6 | 54.5% |
| ¼ to ½ | 0 | 0.0% |
| ½ to 0.9 | 0 | 0.0% |
| About even | 0 | 0.0% |
| 1.1 to 2× | 3 | 27.3% |
| 2 to 5× | 2 | 18.2% |
| 5× or more | 0 | 0.0% |
MetaDraw’s chance for each value tier, and how often our pulls landed there. Odds as of 2026-11-09.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Our pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | $0.02–$0.31 | 45.0% | 54.5%6 |
| Uncommon | $0.03–$0.34 | 16.2% | 0.0%0 |
| Rare | $0.10–$0.26 | 11.5% | 0.0%0 |
| Double Rare | $0.54–$5.01 | 3.8% | 45.5%5 |
| Shiny Ultra Rare | $1.06–$41.13 | 2.7% | 0.0%0 |
| Shiny Rare | $1.63–$87.23 | 19.5% | 0.0%0 |
| Illustration Rare | $2.27–$3.20 | 0.6% | 0.0%0 |
| Hyper Rare | $5.98–$13.18 | 0.7% | 0.0%0 |
| Special Illustration Rare | $188–$889 | 0.1% | 0.0%0 |
11 counted. Tap a row to open the card.
| Card | Value | Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| $4.34 | 2.35x | |
| $0.06 | 0.03x | |
| $3.39 | 1.83x | |
| $2.16 | 1.17x | |
| $0.02 | 0.01x | |
| $0.17 | 0.09x | |
| $2.38 | 1.29x | |
| $4.03 | 2.18x | |
| $0.04 | 0.02x | |
| $0.06 | 0.03x | |
| $0.02 | 0.01x |
The newest 11 of 11 sampled. Sorting a column reorders these 11.