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Shiny Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
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PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
36.9% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 45.2% and 138.7%.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $50.00 | not advertised | 13.7%n=30 |
| D | $50.00–$75.00 | 38.0% | 27.9% n=61 |
| C | $75.00–$100 | 17.0% | 24.2% n=53 |
| B | $100–$150 | 40.0% | 28.8% n=63 |
| A | $150–$300 | 4.5% | 4.6% n=10 |
| S | $300–$4,000 | 0.5% | 0.9% n=2 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2019 Swablu-Holo Hidden Fates #SV42 Pokemon Sun & Moon Hidden Fates [PSA GEM MT 10] | $51.00 | 0.51x |
 2022 Fa/Unown V Silver Tempest #177 Pokemon Sword & Shield Silver Tempest [PSA GEM MT 10] | $98.40 | 0.98x |
 2018 Fa/Looker Ultra Prism #152 Pokemon Sun & Moon Ultra Prism [PSA GEM MT 10] | $70.00 | 0.70x |
 2024 Palafin Ex Special Art Rare #207 Pokemon Japanese Sv8a-Terastal Fest Ex [PSA GEM MT 10] | $41.00 | 0.41x |
 2022 Fa/Irida Astral Radiance #186 Pokemon Sword & Shield Astral Radiance [PSA GEM MT 10] | $54.50 | 0.55x |
 2023 Tapu Koko Ex Special Illustration Rare #247 Pokemon Par En-Paradox Rift [PSA GEM MT 10] | $154 | 1.53x |
 1999 Kadabra #64 Topps Pokemon Tv [PSA MINT 9] | $46.00 | 0.46x |
 2023 Drowzee Master Ball Reverse Holo #096 Pokemon Japanese Sv2a-Pokemon 151 [PSA GEM MT 10] | $71.00 | 0.71x |
 2024 Pidgey Shiny Rare #196 Pokemon Paf En-Paldean Fates [PSA GEM MT 10] | $142 | 1.42x |
 2019 Charizard Gx Detective Pikachu #7 Pokemon Japanese Sun & Moon Detective Pikachu [PSA MINT 9] | $59.95 | 0.60x |
 2023 Lechonk Art Rare #120 Pokemon Japanese Sv3-Ruler Of The Black Flame [PSA GEM MT 10] | $57.00 | 0.57x |
 2021 Fa/Vaporeon Vmax Evolving Skies #030 Pokemon Sword & Shield Evolving Skies [PSA GEM MT 10] | $84.99 | 0.85x |
 2021 Gyarados V Evolving Skies #028 Pokemon Sword & Shield Evolving Skies [PSA MINT 9] | $21.00 | 0.21x |
 2021 Fa/Noivern V Evolving Skies #196 Pokemon Sword & Shield Evolving Skies [PSA NM-MT 8] | $61.00 | 0.61x |
 2021 Fa/Flareon Vmax Flareon Vmax Prem.Coll. #180 Pokemon Swsh Black Star Promo [PSA MINT 9] | $69.00 | 0.69x |
 2022 Fa/Hisuian Sneasler V Astral Radiance #175 Pokemon Sword & Shield Astral Radiance [PSA GEM MT 10] | $90.00 | 0.90x |
 2016 Misty's Determination Evolutions-Fa #108 Pokemon Xy Evolutions [PSA MINT 9] | $50.58 | 0.51x |
 1999 Venusaur-Holo #15 Pokemon Game [PSA EX-MT 6] | $123 | 1.23x |
| 2016 Misty's Determination Evolutions-Fa #108 Pokemon Xy Evolutions [PSA MINT 9] | $50.58 | 0.51x |
 2016 Pidgeot Ex Evolutions #64 Pokemon Xy Evolutions [PSA GEM MT 10] | $59.00 | 0.59x |
 2007 Dialga-Holo Diamond & Pearl #1 Pokemon Diamond & Pearl [PSA NM 7] | $30.00 | 0.30x |
 2023 Sprigatito Illustration Rare #196 Pokemon Pal En-Paldea Evolved [PSA MINT 9] | $65.00 | 0.65x |
 2023 Erika's Invitation Master Ball Reverse Holo #161 Pokemon Japanese Sv2a-Pokemon 151 [PSA MINT 9] | $52.00 | 0.52x |
 2025 Team Rocket'S Meowth Corocoro Ichiban! Jul-Aug '25 #259 Pokemon Japanese Sv-P Promo [PSA GEM MT 10] | $155 | 1.55x |
 2024 Cramorant Illustration Rare #176 Pokemon Twm En-Twilight Masquerade [PSA GEM MT 10] | $64.99 | 0.65x |
 2023 Fa/Darkrai Vstar Crown Zenith #GG50 Pokemon Sword And Shield Crown Zenith [PSA MINT 9] | $125 | 1.25x |
 2025 Lillie'S Ribombee Illustration Rare #164 Pokemon Jtg En-Journey Together [PSA GEM MT 10] | $74.40 | 0.74x |
 2025 Ethan'S Ho-Oh Ex Special Illustration Rare #230 Pokemon Dri En-Destined Rivals [PSA MINT 9] | $165 | 1.65x |
 2025 N'S Plan Special Illustration Rare #170 Pokemon Blk En-Black Bolt [PSA GEM MT 10] | $106 | 1.06x |
 2006 Golduck-Rev.Foil Holon Phantoms #43 Pokemon Ex Holon Phantoms [PSA EX-MT 6] | $94.00 | 0.94x |
 2012 Dragonair-Holo Dragon Vault #4 Pokemon Black & White Dragon Vault [PSA NM-MT 8] | $43.00 | 0.43x |
 2001 Entei-Rev.Foil Pokemon 3 Movie Promo #34 Pokemon Game Movie [PSA NM-MT 8] | $65.37 | 0.65x |
 2023 Pikachu Illustration Rare #173 Pokemon Mew En-151 [PSA MINT 9] | $77.92 | 0.78x |
 1999 Muk Stickers Series 1 #89 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA MINT 9] | $135 | 1.35x |
 1999 Zubat Ser.1 Bonus Prism Stckr. #PR42 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 Bonus Prism Stickers [PSA MINT 9] | $112 | 1.12x |
 2000 Haunter Animation Series 2 #93 Topps Pokemon Tv Animation Series 2 [PSA NM-MT 8] | $55.00 | 0.55x |
 2016 Fa/Dragonite Ex Evolutions #106 Pokemon Xy Evolutions [PSA MINT 9] | $90.62 | 0.91x |
 2007 Ninetales Power Keepers #19 Pokemon Ex Power Keepers [PSA NM 7] | $22.00 | 0.22x |
| 2022 Fa/Unown V Silver Tempest #177 Pokemon Sword & Shield Silver Tempest [PSA GEM MT 10] | $98.40 | 0.98x |
 1999 Beedrill Stickers Series 1 #15 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA MINT 9] | $115 | 1.15x |
 2024 Umbreon Master Ball Reverse Holo #092 Pokemon Japanese Sv8a-Terastal Fest Ex [PSA GEM MT 10] | $135 | 1.35x |
 2023 Charizard Ex Ssr #331 Pokemon Japanese Sv4a-Shiny Treasure Ex [PSA GEM MT 10] | $61.01 | 0.61x |
 2021 Mew 25th Anniversary Coll. #002 Pokemon Japanese 25th Anniversary Collection [PSA GEM MT 10] | $96.00 | 0.96x |
| 2024 Pidgey Shiny Rare #196 Pokemon Paf En-Paldean Fates [PSA GEM MT 10] | $142 | 1.42x |
 2024 Feebas Illustration Rare #198 Pokemon Ssp En-Surging Sparks [PSA GEM MT 10] | $150 | 1.50x |
 2014 Fa/P.M. Center Lady Flashfire #105 Pokemon Xy Flashfire [PSA NM-MT 8] | $85.00 | 0.85x |
 2024 Cinccino Illustration Rare #183 Pokemon Tef En-Temporal Forces [PSA GEM MT 10] | $194 | 1.94x |
 1999 Magikarp Stickers Series 1 #129 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA EX-MT 6] | $139 | 1.39x |
 1999 Dugtrio Stickers Series 1 #51 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA GEM MT 10] | $126 | 1.26x |
 1998 Porygon-Holo Super Dx Stickers #D81 Amada Pokemon Japanese Super Dx Stickers [PSA NM-MT 8] | $85.63 | 0.86x |
The newest 50 of 219 sampled. Sorting a column reorders these 50.