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Shiny Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
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PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
41.0% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 44.0% and 180.4% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $25.00 | not advertised | 13.5%n=80 |
| D | $25.00–$37.50 | 42.1% | 30.5% n=181 |
| C | $37.50–$50.00 | 7.9% | 18.5% n=110 |
| B | $50.00–$75.00 | 45.0% | 22.2% n=132 |
| A | $75.00–$150 | 4.5% | 15.2% n=90 |
| S | $200–$2,000 | 0.5% | 0.2% n=1 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
| $29.99 | 0.60x | |
| $76.00 | 1.52x | |
 1999 Sandslash Rainbow Foil #28 Topps Pokemon Tv [PSA NM 7] | $60.00 | 1.20x |
| $54.00 | 1.08x | |
| $117 | 2.34x | |
| $31.00 | 0.62x | |
| $29.99 | 0.60x | |
| $55.00 | 1.10x | |
 2024 Sinistcha Ex Special Illustration Rare #210 Pokemon Twm En-Twilight Masquerade [PSA MINT 9] | $34.00 | 0.68x |
 2024 Pecharunt Shrouded Fable Pc Etb #129 Pokemon Svp En-Sv Black Star Promo [PSA MINT 9] | $25.42 | 0.51x |
| $52.00 | 1.04x | |
| $80.00 | 1.60x | |
 2021 Surfing Pikachu V #008 Pokemon Celebrations [PSA MINT 9] | $33.49 | 0.67x |
 2023 Prof.Sada'S Vitality Special Illustration Rare #256 Pokemon Par En-Paradox Rift [PSA GEM MT 10] | $69.67 | 1.39x |
 2023 Fa/Latias Crown Zenith #GG20 Pokemon Sword And Shield Crown Zenith [PSA MINT 9] | $33.00 | 0.66x |
| $30.00 | 0.60x | |
 2024 Gholdengo Ex Special Art Rare #220 Pokemon Japanese Sv8a-Terastal Fest Ex [PSA GEM MT 10] | $50.00 | 1.00x |
| $25.00 | 0.50x | |
 2019 Fa/Wishiwashi Cosmic Eclipse-Secret #240 Pokemon Sun & Moon Cosmic Eclipse [PSA MINT 9] | $24.00 | 0.48x |
 2023 Psyduck Art Rare #175 Pokemon Japanese Sv2a-Pokemon 151 [PSA MINT 9] | $53.43 | 1.07x |
 2023 Sprigatito Illustration Rare #196 Pokemon Pal En-Paldea Evolved [PSA MINT 9] | $65.00 | 1.30x |
| $93.00 | 1.86x | |
 2024 Black Kyurem Ex Ultra Rare #218 Pokemon Ssp En-Surging Sparks [PSA GEM MT 10] | $54.99 | 1.10x |
| $48.00 | 0.96x | |
| $44.97 | 0.90x | |
 2021 Fa/Flareon V Flareon Vmax Prem.Coll. #179 Pokemon Swsh Black Star Promo [PSA NM-MT 8] | $80.00 | 1.60x |
 1998 Weezing Series Iii #110 Pokemon Japanese Vending [PSA MINT 9] | $41.00 | 0.82x |
 2021 Lance'S Charizard V Celebrations Collection #133 Pokemon Swsh Black Star Promo [PSA MINT 9] | $36.00 | 0.72x |
| $142 | 2.83x | |
| $54.00 | 1.08x | |
 2016 Fa/Steelix Ex Steam Siege #108 Pokemon Xy Steam Siege [PSA MINT 9] | $60.00 | 1.20x |
| $15.00 | 0.30x | |
| $55.00 | 1.10x | |
 2025 Furret Art Rare #110 Pokemon Japanese Sv9-Battle Partners [PSA GEM MT 10] | $26.00 | 0.52x |
| $68.00 | 1.36x | |
 2012 Salamence Dragon Selection-1st Ed. #008 Pokemon Japanese Black & White Dragon Selection [PSA MINT 9] | $44.00 | 0.88x |
| $38.00 | 0.76x | |
 2025 Team Rocket'S Mimikyu Art Rare #205 Pokemon Japanese M2a-Mega Dream Ex [PSA GEM MT 10] | $57.00 | 1.14x |
| $35.72 | 0.71x | |
 2005 Lombre Deoxys #33 Pokemon Ex Deoxys [PSA MINT 9] | $31.65 | 0.63x |
 2025 Ethan'S Adventure Ultra Rare #221 Pokemon Dri En-Destined Rivals [PSA GEM MT 10] | $57.67 | 1.15x |
 2024 Mimikyu Paldean Fates Etb #075 Pokemon Svp En-Sv Black Star Promo [PSA MINT 9] | $30.98 | 0.62x |
 2021 Fa/Celebi Vmax Chilling Reign #008 Pokemon Sword & Shield Chilling Reign [PSA GEM MT 10] | $62.40 | 1.25x |
| $27.74 | 0.55x | |
 2023 Rabsca Art Rare #079 Pokemon Japanese Sv2p-Snow Hazard [PSA GEM MT 10] | $28.58 | 0.57x |
 2021 Fa/Nessa Vmax Climax #277 Pokemon Japanese Sword & Shield Vmax Climax [PSA MINT 9] | $18.50 | 0.37x |
| $19.00 | 0.38x | |
 2023 Snorlax 151 Elite Trainer Box #051 Pokemon Svp En-Sv Black Star Promo [PSA MINT 9] | $39.99 | 0.80x |
 2000 Lt. Surge's Magneton Holo #8 Pokemon Gym Heroes [PSA EX-MT 6] | $22.50 | 0.45x |
| $61.00 | 1.22x |
Showing 50 of 594 sampled — sorted across all of them.