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Shiny Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
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PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
40.4% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 44.9% and 177.9% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $25.00 | not advertised | 12.5%n=137 |
| D | $25.00–$37.50 | 36.6% | 29.4% n=322 |
| C | $37.50–$50.00 | 18.4% | 19.8% n=217 |
| B | $50.00–$75.00 | 40.0% | 22.9% n=250 |
| A | $75.00–$150 | 4.5% | 14.7% n=161 |
| S | $150–$2,000 | 0.5% | 0.6% n=7 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 1999 Venusaur Stickers Series 1 #3 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA MINT 9] | $54.00 | 1.08x |
 2000 Flaaffy #180 Pokemon Japanese Neo 3 [PSA MINT 9] | $20.00 | 0.40x |
 1999 Meowth Ser.1 Bonus Prism Stckr. #PR05 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 Bonus Prism Stickers [PSA NM-MT 8] | $112 | 2.24x |
 2023 Heracross Art Rare #072 Pokemon Japanese Sv2d-Clay Burst [PSA GEM MT 10] | $40.00 | 0.80x |
 2025 Pikachu Art Rare #170 Pokemon Simplified Chinese 151 C-Collection 151 [PSA GEM MT 10] | $1,300 | 26.0x |
 2023 Arven Ultra Rare #235 Pokemon Svi En-Scarlet & Violet [PSA GEM MT 10] | $35.72 | 0.71x |
 2024 Charmeleon Shiny Rare #110 Pokemon Paf En-Paldean Fates [PSA GEM MT 10] | $96.00 | 1.92x |
 2023 Poliwhirl Illustration Rare #176 Pokemon Mew En-151 [PSA MINT 9] | $50.40 | 1.01x |
 2021 Shining Magikarp-Holo Pcp 25th Anniversary Ed. #010 Pokemon Japanese Promo Card Pack 25th Anniversary Edition [PSA MINT 9] | $147 | 2.94x |
 2024 Pikachu Ex Ultra Rare #219 Pokemon Ssp En-Surging Sparks [PSA MINT 9] | $37.00 | 0.74x |
 1998 Porygon-Holo Super Dx Stickers #D81 Amada Pokemon Japanese Super Dx Stickers [PSA NM 7] | $85.63 | 1.71x |
 2024 Infernape Illustration Rare #173 Pokemon Twm En-Twilight Masquerade [PSA MINT 9] | $24.99 | 0.50x |
 2001 Entei-Rev.Foil Pokemon 3 Movie Promo #34 Pokemon Game Movie [PSA NM-MT 8] | $65.37 | 1.31x |
 2021 Fa/Nessa Vmax Climax #277 Pokemon Japanese Sword & Shield Vmax Climax [PSA MINT 9] | $18.50 | 0.37x |
 2023 Iron Jugulis Art Rare #078 Pokemon Japanese Sv4m-Future Flash [PSA GEM MT 10] | $26.00 | 0.52x |
 2000 Pokemon Scent-Sation Anmtn.Ser.2-Eps.Crd #EP25 Topps Pokemon Tv Animation Series 2 Episode Cards [PSA MINT 9] | $36.00 | 0.72x |
 2025 Tornadus White Flare Etb #210 Pokemon Svp En-Sv Black Star Promo [PSA GEM MT 10] | $44.97 | 0.90x |
 2025 Rocket'S Nidoking Ex Ultra Rare #216 Pokemon Dri En-Destined Rivals [PSA GEM MT 10] | $64.58 | 1.29x |
 1999 Clefable-Holo #1 Pokemon Jungle [PSA EX-MT 6] | $24.33 | 0.49x |
 2024 Munkidori Illustration Rare #072 Pokemon Sfa En-Shrouded Fable [PSA MINT 9] | $27.00 | 0.54x |
 2000 Rhyhorn Base Ii #90 Pokemon Game Base Ii [PSA MINT 9] | $32.00 | 0.64x |
 2000 Nidorina Pokemon T.V. #30 Topps Chrome Pokemon T.V. [PSA MINT 9] | $33.77 | 0.68x |
 2025 Lillie'S Ribombee Illustration Rare #164 Pokemon Jtg En-Journey Together [PSA GEM MT 10] | $74.40 | 1.49x |
 2023 Mantyke Illustration Rare #189 Pokemon Par En-Paradox Rift [PSA MINT 9] | $40.00 | 0.80x |
 2024 Magneton Surging Sparks Etb #159 Pokemon Svp En-Sv Black Star Promo [PSA MINT 9] | $25.00 | 0.50x |
 2002 Venusaur #68 Pokemon Expedition [PSA NM 7] | $66.00 | 1.32x |
| 2025 Tornadus White Flare Etb #210 Pokemon Svp En-Sv Black Star Promo [PSA GEM MT 10] | $44.97 | 0.90x |
 1999 Haunter Stickers Series 1 #93 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA MINT 9] | $40.00 | 0.80x |
 2023 Fa/Deoxys Vstar Crown Zenith #GG46 Pokemon Sword And Shield Crown Zenith [PSA MINT 9] | $65.00 | 1.30x |
 1999 Hitmonlee Stickers Series 1 #106 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA MINT 9] | $106 | 2.13x |
 1999 Tentacruel Foil #73 Topps Pokemon Tv [PSA MINT 9] | $35.00 | 0.70x |
 2023 Fa/Latias Crown Zenith #GG20 Pokemon Sword And Shield Crown Zenith [PSA NM-MT 8] | $111 | 2.23x |
 2025 Togedemaru Illustration Rare #104 Pokemon Pfl En-Phantasmal Flames [PSA GEM MT 10] | $55.00 | 1.10x |
 1997 Electrode-Holo #101 Pokemon Japanese Jungle [PSA MINT 9] | $67.01 | 1.34x |
 1999 Beedrill Stickers Series 1 #15 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA MINT 9] | $115 | 2.31x |
 2023 Lechonk Art Rare #120 Pokemon Japanese Sv3-Ruler Of The Black Flame [PSA GEM MT 10] | $57.00 | 1.14x |
 2025 Trubbish Illustration Rare #140 Pokemon Wht En-White Flare [PSA MINT 9] | $42.00 | 0.84x |
 2024 Raging Bolt Ex Ultra Rare #196 Pokemon Tef En-Temporal Forces [PSA GEM MT 10] | $38.00 | 0.76x |
 2019 Fa/Lunala Gx Promo-Hidden Fates P.C. #SM103a Pokemon Sm Black Star Promo [PSA NM-MT 8] | $15.50 | 0.31x |
 2024 Clobbopus Illustration Rare #207 Pokemon Ssp En-Surging Sparks [PSA MINT 9] | $19.00 | 0.38x |
 2021 Fa/Noivern V Evolving Skies #196 Pokemon Sword & Shield Evolving Skies [PSA NM-MT 8] | $61.00 | 1.22x |
 1999 Wartortle Stickers Series 1 #8 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA NM 7] | $155 | 3.09x |
 1999 Charmander Stickers Series 1 #4 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA MINT 9] | $97.63 | 1.95x |
 2024 Cresselia Illustration Rare #071 Pokemon Sfa En-Shrouded Fable [PSA NM-MT 8] | $16.00 | 0.32x |
 1999 Pikachu & Ash Ser.1 Bonus Prism Stckr. #PR11 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 Bonus Prism Stickers [PSA NM-MT 8] | $87.00 | 1.74x |
 2019 Fa/Koga's Trap Unbroken Bonds #211 Pokemon Sun & Moon Unbroken Bonds [PSA NM-MT 8] | $18.00 | 0.36x |
 2016 Psychic Energy Evolutions-Rev.Foil #95 Pokemon Xy Evolutions [PSA MINT 9] | $37.00 | 0.74x |
 1999 Muk Stickers Series 1 #89 Pokemon Stickers Series 1 [PSA MINT 9] | $135 | 2.70x |
 1999 Gastly 1st Edition #33 Pokemon Fossil [PSA NM 7] | $27.00 | 0.54x |
 2011 Zekrom-Holo Promo-Zekrom Box #BW24 Pokemon Black & White Promo [PSA NM-MT 8] | $34.00 | 0.68x |
The newest 50 of 1,094 sampled. Sorting a column reorders these 50.