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Shiny Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
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PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
42.6% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 50.6% and 208.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $12.50 | not advertised | 10.9%n=60 |
| D | $12.50–$18.75 | 47.9% | 26.6% n=146 |
| C | $18.75–$25.00 | 2.1% | 24.0% n=132 |
| B | $25.00–$37.50 | 45.0% | 22.2% n=122 |
| A | $37.50–$75.00 | 4.5% | 10.9% n=60 |
| S | $100–$1,000 | 0.5% | 5.3% n=29 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2025 Tranquill Art Rare #154 Pokemon Japanese Sv11b-Black Bolt [PSA MINT 9] | $11.00 | 0.44x |
 2016 Devolution Spray Evolutions #76 Pokemon Xy Evolutions [PSA MINT 9] | $16.00 | 0.64x |
| $17.00 | 0.68x | |
 2024 Cetitan Illustration Rare #201 Pokemon Ssp En-Surging Sparks [PSA MINT 9] | $15.51 | 0.62x |
 2025 Electrike Illustration Rare #196 Pokemon Dri En-Destined Rivals [PSA MINT 9] | $17.99 | 0.72x |
 2024 Torkoal Illustration Rare #172 Pokemon Twm En-Twilight Masquerade [PSA MINT 9] | $20.50 | 0.82x |
| $16.00 | 0.64x | |
| $14.00 | 0.56x | |
| $126 | 5.04x | |
 2023 Mr. Mime Illustration Rare #179 Pokemon Mew En-151 [PSA MINT 9] | $19.50 | 0.78x |
 2023 Floragato Illustration Rare #197 Pokemon Pal En-Paldea Evolved [PSA NM-MT 8] | $21.00 | 0.84x |
 2019 Fa/Giovanni's Exile Hidden Fates #67 Pokemon Sun & Moon Hidden Fates [PSA MINT 9] | $24.99 | 1.00x |
| $15.00 | 0.60x | |
| $11.50 | 0.46x | |
| $31.00 | 1.24x | |
| $240 | 9.60x | |
 2002 Relic Hunter Mysterious Mountains #078 Pokemon Japanese Mysterious Mountains [PSA MINT 9] | $47.00 | 1.88x |
| $96.63 | 3.87x | |
 2023 Pidgey Illustration Rare #207 Pokemon Obf En-Obsidian Flames [PSA MINT 9] | $25.00 | 1.00x |
 2025 Noibat Illustration Rare #169 Pokemon Jtg En-Journey Together [PSA MINT 9] | $10.50 | 0.42x |
| $20.00 | 0.80x | |
 2024 Fezandipiti Ex Ultra Rare #084 Pokemon Sfa En-Shrouded Fable [PSA MINT 9] | $12.50 | 0.50x |
| $17.00 | 0.68x | |
 2023 Fidough Illustration Rare #213 Pokemon Svi En-Scarlet & Violet [PSA MINT 9] | $35.00 | 1.40x |
| $14.00 | 0.56x | |
| $20.00 | 0.80x | |
 2023 Meowscarada Ex Special Illustration Rare #256 Pokemon Pal En-Paldea Evolved [PSA MINT 9] | $112 | 4.48x |
| $12.99 | 0.52x | |
| $18.00 | 0.72x | |
| $112 | 4.48x | |
| $13.00 | 0.52x | |
| $13.00 | 0.52x | |
| $27.00 | 1.08x | |
 2023 Fa/Swablu Crown Zenith #GG27 Pokemon Sword And Shield Crown Zenith [PSA EX-MT 6] | $16.46 | 0.66x |
 2023 Giovanni'S Charisma Ultra Rare #197 Pokemon Mew En-151 [PSA MINT 9] | $10.00 | 0.40x |
| $32.91 | 1.32x | |
 2023 Pyroar Illustration Rare #200 Pokemon Pal En-Paldea Evolved [PSA MINT 9] | $26.99 | 1.08x |
| $24.00 | 0.96x | |
| $36.00 | 1.44x | |
 2024 Hf Mask Ogerpon Ex Special Art Rare #204 Pokemon Japanese Sv8a-Terastal Fest Ex [PSA GEM MT 10] | $41.00 | 1.64x |
| $38.15 | 1.53x | |
 2025 Mega Dragonite Ex Mega Attack Rare #232 Pokemon Japanese M2a-Mega Dream Ex [PSA GEM MT 10] | $60.00 | 2.40x |
| $13.49 | 0.54x | |
| $19.20 | 0.77x | |
| $34.99 | 1.40x | |
| $8.50 | 0.34x | |
| $36.95 | 1.48x | |
| $47.00 | 1.88x | |
| $31.00 | 1.24x | |
| $22.98 | 0.92x |
Showing 50 of 549 sampled — sorted across all of them.