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Shiny Packs: Price, Odds and Measured Return
PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
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PSA-graded Pokémon & One Piece packs · card values from Card Ladder, not the house
44.3% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 52.0% and 170.0% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
Only one day of pulls so far — the trend line appears once there are three.
| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worth less than the cheapest tier | under $25.00 | not advertised | 8.6%n=41 |
| D | $25.00–$37.50 | 33.2% | 25.3% n=120 |
| C | $37.50–$50.00 | 20.0% | 23.6% n=112 |
| B | $50.00–$75.00 | 41.8% | 26.1% n=124 |
| A | $75.00–$150 | 4.8% | 15.6% n=74 |
| S | $200–$2,000 | 0.3% | 0.8% n=4 |
Sort any column — sorting asks the whole sample, not just the rows shown. Tap a row to open the reveal and share it.
| Card⇅ | Value⇅ | Multiple⇅ |
|---|---|---|
 2024 Gecko Moria Alternate Art #086 One Piece Prb01-Premium Booster -One Piece Card The Best- [PSA GEM MT 10] | $68.00 | 1.36x |
 2025 Dracule Mihawk Illustration Box Vol.4 #003 One Piece Promos [PSA GEM MT 10] | $34.80 | 0.70x |
 1999 Mankey #56 Topps Pokemon Tv [PSA MINT 9] | $31.00 | 0.62x |
 1999 Omanyte 1st Edition #52 Pokemon Fossil [PSA NM-MT 8] | $24.00 | 0.48x |
 2022 Fa/Zekrom Brilliant Stars #TG05 Pokemon Sword & Shield Brilliant Stars [PSA MINT 9] | $36.65 | 0.73x |
 2016 Raichu-Holo Evolutions #36 Pokemon Xy Evolutions [PSA NM-MT 8] | $22.00 | 0.44x |
 2025 Charlotte Linlin #069 One Piece Japanese 2nd Anniversary Set [PSA GEM MT 10] | $71.00 | 1.42x |
 2023 Squard Box Topper #009 One Piece Op02-Paramount War [PSA GEM MT 10] | $40.00 | 0.80x |
 2002 Relic Hunter Mysterious Mountains #078 Pokemon Japanese Mysterious Mountains [PSA MINT 9] | $47.00 | 0.94x |
 2024 Charizard Ex Charizard Ex Super-Prem Coll #161 Pokemon Svp En-Sv Black Star Promo [PSA MINT 9] | $39.99 | 0.80x |
 2021 Fa/Noivern V Evolving Skies #196 Pokemon Sword & Shield Evolving Skies [PSA NM-MT 8] | $61.00 | 1.22x |
 2022 Fa/Hsn.Lilligant V Astral Radiance #163 Pokemon Sword & Shield Astral Radiance [PSA MINT 9] | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 2019 Reshrm. & Charzrd.Gx Unbroken Bonds #20 Pokemon Sun & Moon Unbroken Bonds [PSA MINT 9] | $66.90 | 1.34x |
 2024 Chimecho Art Rare #106 Pokemon Japanese Sv6-Transformation Mask [PSA GEM MT 10] | $26.00 | 0.52x |
 2000 Nidorina Pokemon T.V. #30 Topps Chrome Pokemon T.V. [PSA MINT 9] | $33.77 | 0.68x |
 2023 Poliwhirl Illustration Rare #176 Pokemon Mew En-151 [PSA MINT 9] | $50.40 | 1.01x |
 2021 Fa/Skyla Shining Fates #072 Pokemon Sword & Shield Shining Fates [PSA GEM MT 10] | $65.00 | 1.30x |
 2021 Fa/Flareon V Flareon Vmax Prem.Coll. #179 Pokemon Swsh Black Star Promo [PSA NM-MT 8] | $80.00 | 1.60x |
 2024 Sawsbuck Illustration Rare #166 Pokemon Tef En-Temporal Forces [PSA MINT 9] | $49.20 | 0.98x |
 2023 Drowzee Illustration Rare #210 Pokemon Svi En-Scarlet & Violet [PSA MINT 9] | $100 | 2.00x |
 2025 Bartholomew Kuma #119 One Piece Op12-Legacy Of The Master [PSA GEM MT 10] | $35.00 | 0.70x |
 2025 Sanji Alternate Art #027 One Piece Op13-Carrying On His Will [PSA GEM MT 10] | $50.00 | 1.00x |
 2025 Monkey D. Luffy 3rd Anniversary Tournament #P One Piece Promos [PSA GEM MT 10] | $115 | 2.30x |
 2006 Golduck-Rev.Foil Holon Phantoms #43 Pokemon Ex Holon Phantoms [PSA EX-MT 6] | $94.00 | 1.88x |
 2025 Gol D. Roger Alternate Art #003 One Piece Op13-Carrying On His Will [PSA GEM MT 10] | $43.00 | 0.86x |
 2023 Rabsca Art Rare #079 Pokemon Japanese Sv2p-Snow Hazard [PSA GEM MT 10] | $28.58 | 0.57x |
 2023 Charmander Art Rare #168 Pokemon Japanese Sv2a-Pokemon 151 [PSA MINT 9] | $49.99 | 1.00x |
 2025 Mr. 2 Bon Clay #061 One Piece Prb02-Premium Booster -One Piece Card The Best- Vol.2 [PSA GEM MT 10] | $35.00 | 0.70x |
 2025 Sabo Alternate Art #120 One Piece Japanese Op13-Carrying On His Will [PSA GEM MT 10] | $113 | 2.25x |
 2023 Charlotte Pudding Alternate Art #112 One Piece Op03-Pillars Of Strength [PSA GEM MT 10] | $67.00 | 1.34x |
 2024 Carrot Alternate Art #023 One Piece Op08-Two Legends [PSA GEM MT 10] | $40.00 | 0.80x |
 2023 Clavell Ultra Rare #249 Pokemon Pal En-Paldea Evolved [PSA GEM MT 10] | $30.00 | 0.60x |
 2022 Fa/Garchomp V Battle Region #084 Pokemon Japanese Sword & Shield Battle Region [PSA MINT 9] | $65.00 | 1.30x |
 1999 Movie Edition The Water Race Is On-Foil #47 Topps Pokemon The Movie Edt [PSA MINT 9] | $19.00 | 0.38x |
 2024 Raging Bolt Ex Special Illustration Rare #208 Pokemon Tef En-Temporal Forces [PSA MINT 9] | $51.00 | 1.02x |
 2008 Ampharos-Holo Pop Series 7 #1 Pokemon Pop Series 7 [PSA EX-MT 6] | $28.00 | 0.56x |
 2019 Aln.Vulpix-Rev.Foil Cosmic Eclipse #39 Pokemon Sun & Moon Cosmic Eclipse [PSA GEM MT 10] | $81.00 | 1.62x |
 2022 Fa/Kingdra Astral Radiance #TG03 Pokemon Sword & Shield Astral Radiance [PSA MINT 9] | $24.00 | 0.48x |
 2025 Lilith Alternate Art #113 One Piece Op13-Carrying On His Will [PSA GEM MT 10] | $50.43 | 1.01x |
 2025 Don!! Card One Piece Japanese Premium Card Collection -One Piece Day'25- [PSA GEM MT 10] | $36.99 | 0.74x |
 2024 Jewelry Bonney Alternate Art #026 One Piece Op07-500 Years In The Future [PSA GEM MT 10] | $42.00 | 0.84x |
 2024 Trafalgar Law #010 One Piece Prb01-Premium Booster -One Piece Card The Best- [PSA GEM MT 10] | $60.00 | 1.20x |
 2025 Jewelry Bonney Alternate Art #100 One Piece Op13-Carrying On His Will [PSA GEM MT 10] | $45.99 | 0.92x |
 2016 Fa/M Gardevoir Ex Steam Siege #112 Pokemon Xy Steam Siege [PSA EX-MT 6] | $38.00 | 0.76x |
 2024 Wugtrio Illustration Rare #224 Pokemon Paf En-Paldean Fates [PSA GEM MT 10] | $80.00 | 1.60x |
 2023 Issho Alternate Art #078 One Piece Japanese Op03-Pillars Of Strength [PSA GEM MT 10] | $40.00 | 0.80x |
 2022 Tony Tony Chopper #006 One Piece Japanese 25th Anniversary Premium Card Collection [PSA GEM MT 10] | $123 | 2.46x |
 2025 Trubbish Illustration Rare #140 Pokemon Wht En-White Flare [PSA MINT 9] | $42.00 | 0.84x |
 2024 Portgas D. Ace #002 One Piece Ultra Deck St13-The Three Brothers [PSA GEM MT 10] | $43.00 | 0.86x |
 2023 Erika'S Invitation Ultra Rare #196 Pokemon Mew En-151 [PSA GEM MT 10] | $81.60 | 1.63x |
Showing 50 of 475 sampled — sorted across all of them.