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What really comes out of this pack
119 real pulls sampledTypical rip
93.6%
median — half came back above
Average
106.4%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
367.7%
Joe DI Maggio
Where the 119 pulls landedcard value vs. the $999 it cost
under 25%— · 0
25–50%— · 0
50–90%45.4% · 54
90–110%23.5% · 28
110–200%26.9% · 32
200–500%4.2% · 5
over 500%— · 0
39.5% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 70.1% and 156.2%.
Advertised vs. observedsolid
The odds check out
Over 119 real pulls, the observed mean value is $1,063 versus the advertised EV of $1,048 — a +1.5% difference.
observed · advertised
$1,063 · $1,048
Cost
$999
Advertised EV
$1,048
per card, at midpoints
Advertised RTP
104.9%
gross
Net RTP
94.0%
after buyback
Advertised odds vs. real pulls
odds · API· 2026-08-07| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| base · $700–850 | $700–$850 | 47.8% | 37.8% n=45 |
| common · $850–999 | $850–$999 | 29.0% | 22.7% n=27 |
| uncommon · $999–1,998 | $999–$1,998 | 20.0% | 35.3% n=42 |
| rare · $1,998–3,996 | $1,998–$3,996 | 3.0% | 4.2% n=5 |
| chase · $3,996–15,984 | $3,996–$15,984 | 0.2% | 0.0% n=0 |
Recent pulls from this pack (119 sampled)
| Card | Category | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Pikachu EX · PSA 9 MINT | Pokémon | $966 |
| 1835 10C S.S. Central America #2 (with Pinch) PCGS VG08 · PCGS VG08 | Shipwreck | $700 |
| Light Dragonite · PSA 9 MINT | Pokémon | $779 |
| Jayden Daniels · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Football | $1,242 |
| Batman · CGC-COMIC 9.8 NM/M | D.C. Comic | $1,220 |
| Rece Hinds · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Baseball | $1,100 |
| Cameron Skattebo · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Football | $789 |
| Matthew Stafford B · BGS 9.5 GEM MINT | Football | $1,391 |
| 1915 $2.50 Gold NGC MS62 · NGC MS62 | US | $895 |
| Jackson Chourio · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Baseball | $1,472 |
| Sub-Mariner · CGC-COMIC 9.6 NM+ | Marvel Comic | $1,140 |
| Thor · CGC-COMIC 9.6 NM+ | Marvel Comic | $920 |
4.6/ 5
Courtyard
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- Free vaulting, insured at full market value
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