Visit Courtyard
USD · 84.6% buyback✓ Real odds✓ Live feed✓ Categories✓ EV computable
What really comes out of this pack
104 real pulls sampledTypical rip
96.5%
median — half came back above
Average
133.4%
pulled up by the big hits
Biggest hit
450.5%
1652 Sixpence Pine Tree NGC XF40
Where the 104 pulls landedcard value vs. the $999 it cost
under 25%— · 0
25–50%— · 0
50–90%46.2% · 48
90–110%7.7% · 8
110–200%26.9% · 28
200–500%19.2% · 20
over 500%— · 0
49.0% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the card cost. The middle 80% landed between 54.8% and 263.6% — the average sits above the typical rip because the top band carries it, which is what a chase pack is built to do.
Advertised vs. observedsolid
The odds check out
Over 104 real pulls, the observed mean value is $1,333 versus the advertised EV of $1,291 — a +3.2% difference.
observed · advertised
$1,333 · $1,291
Cost
$999
Advertised EV
$1,291
per card, at midpoints
Advertised RTP
129.2%
gross
Net RTP
115.8%
after buyback
Top pulls
Pulls
44
Total in
$43,956
Total back
$55,342
Return
125.9%
typical 87.3%
- 1DaredevilCGC-COMIC 5.0 VG/FN4×$3,792
- 2Mickey MantlePSA 7 NM3×$3,288
- 3Caleb WilliamsPSA 10 GEM MINT3×$3,247
- 4Drake MayePSA 10 GEM MINT3×$3,051
- 51907 $10 Gold Liberty PCGS MS64PCGS MS643×$2,648
- 6Fantastic FourCGC-COMIC 8.0 VF2×$2,135
- 7Infernape LV.XPSA 10 GEM MINT2×$2,133
- 8Anthony RichardsonPSA 8 NM-MT2×$2,088
Advertised odds vs. real pulls
odds · API· 2026-08-08| Tier | Value | Advertised | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| base · $500–750 | $500–$750 | 50.1% | 33.7% n=35 |
| common · $750–999 | $750–$999 | 22.0% | 17.3% n=18 |
| uncommon · $999–1,998 | $999–$1,998 | 22.0% | 29.8% n=31 |
| rare · $1,998–3,996 | $1,998–$3,996 | 5.0% | 17.3% n=18 |
| chase · $3,996–63,936 | $3,996–$63,936 | 0.9% | 1.9% n=2 |
Recent pulls from this pack (104 sampled)
| Card | Category | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Daredevil · CGC-COMIC 9.8 NM/M | Marvel Comic | $900 |
| Shohei Ohtani · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Baseball | $777 |
| Oscar Robertson · PSA 5 EX | Basketball | $1,272 |
| Tiger Woods · PSA 8 NM-MT | Golf | $860 |
| Detective Comics · CGC-COMIC 8.5 VF+ | D.C. Comic | $593 |
| Joe Montana · PSA 8.5 NM-MT+ | Football | $1,253 |
| Drake Maye · PSA 10 GEM MINT | Football | $3,051 |
| Fantastic Four · CGC-COMIC 8.0 VF | Marvel Comic | $2,135 |
4.6/ 5
Courtyard
Affiliate link · 18+
Courtyard highlights
- Free vaulting, insured at full market value
- Cash payouts — take the money or ship the card
- 76 packs: Pokémon, One Piece, Magic, sports, comics, watches
* Affiliate link